Markets are pricing roughly a 90% probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September FOMC meeting, according to the Danske Research Team.

The team revised its own call this week and now expects that outcome. For Bitcoin watchers, the key distinction is between market expectations and a confirmed policy decision: the hike is still expected, but it has not yet been delivered.

The research team says tightening now likely represents the path of least resistance, given current market pricing and its longstanding view that rate hikes are eventually on the horizon.

At the same time, it does not regard the decision as completely settled. That leaves the meeting relevant not only for the headline rate decision, but also for the details released alongside it.

Readers following FOMC odds into the September rate decision should distinguish between the reported 90% probability and any broader claims about how Bitcoin or other assets are positioned. The supplied research supports the market-pricing estimate, but it does not provide a verified assessment of Bitcoin positioning, leverage, or current price action.

Will the Expected Hike Be the Main Bitcoin Catalyst?

The Danske Research Team identifies the FOMC meeting as the week’s main US event. Alongside its expected 25-basis-point hike, the team expects the Fed to publish updated economic projections and a fresh set of rate projections, commonly called the dot plot.

The vote itself is also worth watching. Danske Research Team expects two or three dissenters in favor of holding rates, even as it maintains its call for a hike. That expectation underscores that the meeting is not a done deal. The final decision and any recorded dissents will provide the clearest evidence of how the committee resolved that tension.

The projections also carry an expected qualification. The team still expects the FOMC to publish the dots even if Fed official Warsh again chooses not to submit personal rate-path views. If that happens, the published material would still be available, but it would not include Warsh’s personal submission.

What the Fed FOMC Signal Could Mean for Bitcoin

For Bitcoin-focused market analysis, the meeting presents several elements to monitor: the rate decision, the vote count, updated economic projections, and the dot plot.

Available evidence shows that the market strongly expects a hike and that projections and dots are expected to be published. It does not establish a specific Bitcoin reaction to any of those elements.

Commentary about the dot plot, future policy language, or a possible press-conference message should therefore be treated as market interpretation rather than a conclusion supplied by the primary research.

Likewise, it would be premature to describe any particular outcome as bullish or bearish for Bitcoin without independently verified market evidence.

The immediate question is not whether market pricing confirms it. It does not. The reported probability reflects expectations ahead of the meeting, while the FOMC’s decision will determine the actual policy outcome. The same caution applies to claims about risk assets, crypto-market volatility, or how fully expectations are reflected in trading activity.

The post Bitcoin’s Next Fed Test Is Today’s FOMC Meeting: Will $75K Hold? appeared first on Cryptonews.

On Wednesday, September 16, 2026, the first-ever space mission funded entirely by Dogecoin, DOGE-1, is scheduled to launch from the Kennedy Space Center in Florida. While this marks a historic milestone for digital assets, it arrives during a broader market correction. Yesterday, the US Senate rejected the Clarity Act, triggering a 2% decline in the total crypto market cap, which now sits at $2.57 trillion.

Analyzing the Market: Short-Term Correction vs. Long-Term Meme Coin Strength

The regulatory setback has led to a temporary wave of caution across major digital assets:

• Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near $75,500, down approximately 1.5% on the day and 5% over the past week.
• Ethereum (ETH) has declined by 5% this week, trading just under the $2,400 threshold.
• Dogecoin (DOGE) has experienced a 13% weekly drop, alongside a 3.7% daily decline.

Despite this short-term volatility, the broader outlook for high-utility and community-backed assets remains robust. The meme coin sector has grown 21.6% over the past month, reaching a total valuation of $26.84 billion. Dogecoin itself has gained 13% over the last 30 days, maintaining a market capitalization of $13.62 billion. This sustained interest continues to drive capital into early-stage projects, with the Maxi Doge (MAXI) presale now rapidly approaching the $5 million milestone.

Technical Specifications of the DOGE-1 Mission

The DOGE-1 payload is a compact 40kg satellite designed to orbit the moon, collect surface imagery, and gather sensor data. Developed by Geometric Energy Corporation, the satellite is booked on a SpaceX Falcon 9 rideshare rocket. In addition to its scientific objectives, the satellite features a small external screen that will broadcast logos and digital art back to Earth.

While the launch has faced several delays over the past two years, final countdown preparations are underway. Market analysts, including Trader Tardigrade on X, are monitoring the event closely to assess how this high-profile deployment might influence the next market cycle for dog-themed digital assets.

Maxi Doge Capitalizes on Meme Coin Sector Resilience

For investors seeking exposure to the meme coin ecosystem with structured yield opportunities, Maxi Doge (MAXI) offers a secure entry point on the Ethereum network. To address security concerns, the project’s smart contracts have been fully audited by independent blockchain security firms Coinsult and SolidProof.

The project features a fixed total supply of 150.24 billion tokens, structured to support marketing, liquidity, development, and community incentives.

The Maxi Doge presale has successfully raised $4.86 million, targeting a hard cap milestone of $5.20 million. The current presale price stands at $0.0002839 per token, up from its initial offering price of $0.00025. A key feature of the ecosystem is its staking protocol, which currently offers a 64% Annual Percentage Yield (APY), allowing early participants to accumulate rewards prior to exchange listings.

How to Participate in the Maxi Doge Presale

Eligible participants can secure MAXI tokens by visiting the official Maxi Doge site and connecting a compatible Web3 wallet.

For mobile users, the presale is integrated with the Best Wallet app, which is available for download on the Apple App Store and Google Play. Users can find the presale directly under the “Upcoming Tokens” tab within the application.

The platform supports purchases using ETH, BNB, USDT, USDC, or standard bank cards. Once purchased, tokens can be immediately committed to the staking contract to begin earning the 64% APY. For real-time project updates and community discussions, users can follow the official X page and join the Telegram group.

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XRP price trades at $1.28, down 9% on the day. The decline was XRP’s largest one-day percentage loss since February 5. The move placed attention on how the token would trade after the sharp fall, as it was trading between $1.40 and $1.45 in the previous 24 hours.

The decline reduced XRP’s market cap to $80 billion, or 3.34% of the total cryptocurrency market cap. XRP’s highest market capitalization was at $210 billion. As this is being reported, the XRP price remains 65% below its all-time high of $3.65, set on July 18 last year.

Other major cryptocurrencies also declined during the session. Bitcoin was last at $75,500, down 2% on the day, while Ethereum traded at under $2,400, down 4%. Those declines provide important market context for XRP’s move.

Why the $1.28-$1.30 Zone Matters for XRP Price?

XRP is trading at $1.28 after another sharp move lower, with the token down 0.7% over the past 24 hours. The decline becomes more significant across longer timeframes, with XRP down 8.2% over seven days and 10.4% over the past month.

Trading activity remains substantial, with XRP recording approximately $80.46 billion in 24-hour volume. Its market capitalization stands at around $5.88 billion, while the latest price action shows a volatile move lower after several failed recovery attempts.

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At $1.28, XRP is now testing a much lower level following the recent selling pressure. The immediate question for traders is whether buyers can stabilize the price around this area or whether another wave of selling pushes XRP toward fresh lows.

The chart data also shows a volatile recovery attempt followed by another sharp move lower. XRP briefly rebounded from an earlier decline before sellers returned, pushing the price back toward $1.28. That price action makes the current level an important area to watch as the market searches for a potential stabilization point.

For now, the combination of a 10.4% monthly decline and substantial trading volume keeps the focus on whether buyers can absorb the remaining selling pressure.

The post XRP Price Loses 10% as Crypto Weakness Deepens appeared first on Cryptonews.

Federal prosecutors charged former Robinhood Crypto engineers Hefu Chai, 36, and Huaisong “Jerry” Xiang, 30, with one count of commodities fraud and one count of wire fraud each, alleging they used confidential information about upcoming Robinhood token listings to trade related perpetual futures on Hyperliquid before those listings went public.

Each defendant allegedly profited more than $50,000 between 2025 and 2026, according to the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York.

The case matters beyond the dollar figures because it extends crypto insider-trading enforcement to decentralized derivatives markets, not just spot exchanges.

Prosecutors are applying commodities fraud and wire fraud theories to trading on a venue with no central listing desk or traditional KYC gatekeeper, signaling that jurisdiction over misappropriated information does not stop at a platform’s front door.

How Did the Robinhood Engineers Use Hyperliquid to Conduct Insider Trading?

On September 15, 2026, the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York announced charges against Chai from Menlo Park, California, and Xiang from Jersey City, New Jersey.

Both engineers at Robinhood allegedly accessed nonpublic information about upcoming cryptocurrency listings and profited by buying perpetual futures on Hyperliquid before public announcements.

The DOJ claims this violated their confidentiality obligations for personal gain. U.S. Attorney Jamie McDonald emphasized that corporate insiders cannot evade laws by trading derivatives.

The commodities fraud charge carries a maximum of 10 years, while the wire fraud charge could result in up to 20 years in prison if convicted. Robinhood said it is committed to market integrity and reported the matter to authorities, cooperating fully with the investigation.

Why Perps and the Legal Theory Matter in the Insider Trading Case

Perpetual futures let traders take leveraged bets on an asset’s price without holding the token, and they never expire as long as funding payments keep them aligned with the spot price.

This makes them ideal for front-running listing announcements, since there’s no need to source the actual token and no custody risk.

The DOJ is pursuing this case under the Commodity Exchange Act and wire fraud statutes instead of securities fraud, allowing it to address derivatives trading on decentralized platforms without debating the status of underlying tokens.

This approach differs from the earlier Coinbase case involving Ishan Wahi, who was charged for sharing confidential token-listing information.

Hyperliquid, a major decentralized platform for perpetual futures, is already under regulatory scrutiny, and this case adds a criminal dimension.

The takeaway for traders is clear: pre-listing perp flow on decentralized venues now falls within the DOJ’s focus, and insiders trading through derivatives may face risks similar to those trading spot tokens directly.

The charges against Chai and Xiang are allegations only, and both defendants are presumed innocent unless proven guilty. No trial date or plea has been reported.

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Bitcoin price fell 4% in US trading and stabilized at around $75,900 as of 8 a.m. in London. The decline came after the US failed to advance a key crypto regulatory bill, weakening industry sentiment ahead of a potential Federal Reserve interest-rate hike.

The combination puts regulatory developments and monetary policy at the center of the market backdrop. We see that the whole crypto market was also weaker after steep declines during the US session.

The immediate regulatory issue was the US failure to advance a key crypto bill. Reuters had reported before the vote that the Senate was preparing to take a procedural vote on the Clarity Act, a measure that could help determine the bill’s fate. The legislation would address legal ambiguity around whether tokens qualify as securities or commodities, according to Reuters.

That setback arrived while investors were also assessing the prospect of higher US interest rates. Bloomberg described the regulatory disappointment as weighing on sentiment just ahead of a potential Fed hike. The two developments provided the context for Bitcoin’s US-session decline and the broader weakness across crypto assets.

Reuters reported on Sept. 14 that traders assigned an 85% likelihood to a rate hike on Wednesday following hot inflation data. That figure was a snapshot of expectations reported at the time, rather than a permanent measure of market consensus.

What the Rate Odds Do, and Do Not?

Rate probabilities reflect market pricing and can change as new economic information arrives. CME FedWatch says its probabilities of future Federal Reserve target-rate changes are implied by prices for 30-Day Fed Funds futures. Its methodology makes it a reference for how interest-rate traders are pricing upcoming policy decisions.

The available reporting supports the existence of elevated hike expectations, but it does not establish a precise causal chain between any one market variable and Bitcoin’s 4% decline. The reported backdrop was a potential rate increase alongside the failure to advance the US crypto bill.

Reuters also noted that elevated inflation had raised expectations of a Fed hike and that long-end bond yields were nearing 5%, creating more competition for capital. The report described a rate increase as a challenge for speculative assets, including Bitcoin.

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The Next Bitcoin Price Test

The Federal Reserve decision is the next scheduled policy event highlighted in the reporting. The decision would test the optimism that had returned to Bitcoin after its late-August rebound. Bloomberg similarly identified a potential Fed rate increase as an immediate source of pressure for the crypto market.

The regulatory question remains separate from the rate decision. The failed effort to advance the bill leaves the legislation’s future unresolved, while the Fed’s policy decision concerns the interest-rate outlook. Together, those issues frame the near-term conditions facing Bitcoin after its decline in US trading.

Bitcoin’s level near $75,900 at 8 a.m. in London marked the point of stabilization reported by Bloomberg. The broader crypto market, however, remained weaker after the steep US-session declines.

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In Trump AI news, the US President has argued for faster AI development with fewer guardrails, while several people involved in developing advanced systems have called for stronger safeguards. The contrast was visible in recent comments from the president, who described fears about AI safety as a hoax.

Trump made the remarks in social media posts reported by the BBC. They followed comments from Jack Clark, an Anthropic co-founder, who said a shutdown mechanism for dangerous AI that a third party can check may eventually need to become mandatory across the industry.

Trump AI News: President Compares AI Safety to Climate Change Warnings

Trump’s comments arrived amid warnings from executives and staff at leading AI firms about potential risks from the technology. The BBC reported that those concerns contributed to a selloff in shares of some technology companies, as investors weighed the possible effect of slower AI development.

In his posts, Trump compared the AI safety debate with his criticism of climate-change warnings and presented himself as a challenger of what he describes as hoaxes.

He also argued that AI needs a strong and smart president rather than additional guardrails. That is a political argument about how the United States should approach AI development, rather than evidence of a new binding policy.

Microsoft AI took a different approach on the same day by publishing an outline document for what it calls humanist AI. Its chief executive, Mustafa Suleyman, told CNBC the company had developed the guidance for months and published it amid the current debate over the technology. The move put another major company in a discussion about how advanced models should be developed and limited.

Trump AI Debate: Voluntary Guardrails, Not a Binding Regime

The evolving AI safety landscape is marked by varied company practices and calls for regulation rather than a unified enforcement framework.

Clark emphasized the need for an independent shutdown mechanism for dangerous AI systems, suggesting lawmakers may need to mandate such measures.

Dario Amodei of Anthropic advocates for slower AI development and monitoring while ensuring firms retain their competitive edge. Sam Altman of OpenAI and Elon Musk of xAI support similar industry-wide deceleration and independent oversight.

However, despite agreement on principles, no shared enforcement system exists. OpenAI’s safety practices highlight the difference between internal frameworks and external regulation, as they will not release models exceeding the Medium risk threshold without sufficient interventions.

What Would an AI Kill Switch Actually Require?

Clark’s proposal is more specific than a general call to turn off a system when concerns arise. He described a way of shutting off AI software completely if it becomes too dangerous, with the possibility of third-party checking. The independent element matters because an internal shutdown capability remains under the control of the company operating the model.

The reporting does not set out the technical design of existing shutdown mechanisms at individual labs, how they would be independently verified, or how a common requirement would be implemented. Clark’s view that lawmakers may need to enforce such a capability underscores that the evidence provides no industry-wide mandatory standard.

Independent monitoring is similarly a proposal rather than a single operating system shared across the industry. Lab leaders have endorsed the concept, but the available reporting does not identify one common mechanism that all frontier developers have adopted.

US Vs. China AI Wars: The Political Choice Now Facing AI Policy

Trump views AI as a competition in which rapid advancement is key to national advantage. In contrast, Chinese state media argue that U.S. concerns over China’s AI progress might skew its policy priorities. Experts like Xin Qiang of Fudan University suggest that U.S. officials fear that slowing down could allow China to catch up.

This situation highlights the tension surrounding voluntary limits on AI development. While stakeholders may agree on the need for safeguards, there’s concern that such constraints could benefit competitors that don’t adhere to the same regulations.

Current evidence points to a clash of incentives rather than a clear consensus. Trump has dismissed the need for stricter regulations, and while some leaders propose measures to slow development and increase monitoring, these remain voluntary and unverified.

The main policy question is whether voluntary measures will become enforceable rules, especially since safety measures could affect commercial interests and development speed.

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This week in Washington and one day of ETF flows explain why the calendar suddenly matters. Meta AI predicts the next three months will be unusually consequential, and it projects Bitcoin to range from $78,000 to $92,000 by the end of 2026, with $85,000 as the base case.

Today (September 15) is the first trigger. The Senate is expected to test whether the Clarity Act can clear the 60-vote threshold. The passage would remove a major U.S. policy overhang. That alone changes the risk calculus for allocators who have stayed on the sidelines.

ARMA is the bigger Bitcoin-specific catalyst. The House proposal would authorize Treasury purchases of up to 1 million BTC over five years.

It also requires a 20-year federal hold on those coins. Buying at that scale with a two-decade lockup would remove supply permanently, not temporarily.

Flows are already turning. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in $159.9M to start the week on September 14, a strong start as we move through the month.

The bear case paints a different picture. Renewed ETF outflows are the first pressure point.

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Meta AI Predicts the Bitcoin Price: Three Months, Two Bills, And One Very Large Buyer

The weekly chart shows a cycle that has already peaked. Bitcoin topped near $126,000 in mid-2025 and has trended lower since.

Late 2025 broke the structure, taking the price from $120,000 toward $84,000. Early 2026 delivered the deepest leg down near $58,000.

Spring produced a recovery attempt to roughly $82,000. That failed by June, and the price returned to the low $60Ks.

Recent weeks have built a shallow base. Higher lows are forming, though without any strong upward push behind them.

The weekly close reads $63,078, down 2.74% and $1,780. The weekly range covered $62,470 to $65,333.

Support sits at $72,000, then $68,000 and $66,000, as the zone Meta AI flags. Resistance appears at $80,000, then $82,000 and $87,000.

RSI reads 39.06 with its signal line just above at 39.32. The two lines have converged almost exactly, separated by roughly a quarter point.

That reading sits well below the midline and is near oversold. Momentum is weak, though the flattening suggests the decline is losing force.

Meta AI predicts that the base case sits +35% above this level. September 15 is the first date that will tell you whether the market starts pricing it in.

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If Today (September 15) Is the Trigger, Kalshi Lets You Trade the Decision Before Bitcoin Reacts

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The platform lets users trade on real-world outcomes across politics, economic data, Fed decisions, crypto, and other market-moving events. That matters when the Bitcoin thesis is increasingly tied to specific dates rather than vague expectations.

If the market is watching whether legislation clears Congress, whether policy shifts, or whether another macro catalyst lands, Kalshi turns that uncertainty into a tradable probability. You are no longer forced to buy BTC and hope the eventual reaction matches your thesis. You can trade the outcome directly.

With today shaping up as one of Bitcoin’s most important near-term dates, that distinction matters. Eligible new users who sign up through CryptoNews can also receive $25 through our referral link.

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In XRP news today, its 30-day liquidity index on Binance has climbed to 0.0675, the highest reading in about six months. Its 30-day turnover recovered to approximately $4.6 billion after sinking to between $2 billion and $3 billion during July and August.

The rebound signals that XRP liquidity conditions have meaningfully improved, but a deeper order book supports both accumulation and distribution equally well, and is leaving the question of which side actually controls this market unanswered.

The liquidity index measures how easily traders can move XRP in and out of positions without moving the price against themselves, calculated against how quickly XRP turns over relative to what Binance holds on its books. A rising reading means faster turnover and tighter execution, which is exactly what the data shows.

XRP closed August up about 28.5%, its strongest August performance since 2021, while U.S. spot XRP ETF products pulled in $153.55 million of inflows that month.

Now, the flow data from the end of last week complicates a clean bullish read. More than 91 million XRP moved into Binance on the 11th, and over 113 million XRP moved out, both six-month highs in single-day volume. Withdrawals outpaced deposits by 22.7 million XRP, yet Binance’s total XRP holdings rose just 0.43% over the full week.

That spike could reflect genuine trading demand, internal wallet reshuffling, or market-maker rebalancing ahead of a volatility event. Nothing in the current data confirms which explanation applies, and traders treating the flow spike as a standalone signal are filling in a gap that the numbers don’t close.

Derivatives tell a similarly cautious story. Binance’s seven-day change in XRP open interest improved from -27% on August 29 to 1% by September 6, with average open interest near $476.7 million, up only 0.23% week over week. That is a market re-engaging after a quiet summer, and it lines up with questions about where XRP price support and resistance currently sit, given the lack of a decisive breakout.

XRP Holds Above Its Key EMAs Despite the News

XRP currently trades near $1.40, sitting above both its 20-day EMA at $1.37 and its 200-day EMA at $1.33 on the daily chart. Its RSI reads 55.92, or above the midpoint, comfortably below overbought territory, and offering no urgency in either direction.

None of this establishes a confirmed breakout level or a resistance ceiling that has to break for the narrative to change; the structure remains one of a market holding above trend support without a catalyst forcing a move. That neutral-to-constructive setup echoes recent technical takes on XRP’s price action inside a tightening triangle, where momentum has cooled without turning outright bearish.

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Separate CryptoQuant data cited in earlier news put Binance’s XRP spot volume at a six-month high of roughly $7.28 billion in August, with Upbit and Bithumb also posting strong monthly totals. The distribution of XRP trading volume across venues supports the case that the liquidity recovery isn’t a Binance-specific quirk.

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What Higher Liquidity Could Mean for XRP?

Deeper liquidity is a multiplier, not a directional bet. If buying pressure builds from here, the improved depth could let XRP grind higher with less slippage than the thin summer conditions would have allowed.

If sellers take control instead, that same depth could just as easily absorb a larger decline without the exaggerated wicks typical of illiquid markets.

Funding rates and liquidations easing on both sides of the derivatives market reinforce the range-bound case near term rather than pointing to an imminent trend resolution. Traders reading the six-month liquidity peak as a green light should recognize it as a market that can move more efficiently, not one that has told them which way it intends to go.

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Prediction-market volume on the Federal Reserve’s September FOMC odds rate decision has topped $42M, with slightly more than half of participants backing a 25-basis-point hike and just over 45% expecting rates to remain unchanged, according to Federal News Network.

The close split puts the Sept. 15-16 Federal Open Market Committee meeting at the center of the macro calendar for markets, including Bitcoin.

The reported market showed little expectation of a rate cut despite President Donald Trump’s pressure for lower borrowing costs. The choices attracting meaningful interest were a hike or unchanged rates, leaving the September decision closely contested in the reported snapshot.

Kalshi on the other hand has over $85M wagered on the FOMC odds for today’s meeting, with only 12% believing that the rates stay the same, and 86% betting on a rate hike,

FOMC Odds: Why the Fed Decision Is Dividing Traders

Federal News Network reported that a strong August jobs report added another consideration to the Federal Reserve’s decision. The Consumer Price Index report is due Sept. 11, shortly before the FOMC meeting, and the report identified inflation, tariff disputes, and challenges in the Middle East as factors surrounding the rate debate.

According to the report, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, who succeeded Jerome Powell earlier in 2026, has indicated that a rate increase could be preferable. Trump has advocated lower rates and has threatened to stop trading with countries with which the United States has a trade deficit if the Fed raises rates, the report said. These competing pressures form the backdrop to the narrow prediction-market split.

The same report characterized the decision as a close call. It said the Fed could keep rates unchanged for now and defer a hike to a later meeting, while acknowledging the economic case for addressing inflation through higher rates.

What the Split Signals for Bitcoin

For Bitcoin observers, the reported division reflects uncertainty around a closely watched policy decision rather than a settled market consensus. A rate hike and an unchanged-rate decision are the two outcomes that drew meaningful support in the Sept. 8 market snapshot, according to Federal News Network.

The reporting does not make a Bitcoin price forecast. Instead, it shows how prediction-market participants weighed the Federal Reserve’s next move as the meeting approached. That uncertainty is relevant context for traders following Bitcoin alongside broader interest-rate expectations.

A 25-basis-point increase would align with the marginal favorite in the snapshot. Keeping rates unchanged would align with the report’s view that the Fed might postpone a hike. The outcome remains a decision for the FOMC odds, and the prediction-market figures reflect participants’ views when they were reported, not the meeting’s outcome.

What to Watch at the September FOMC Odds Decision

The Federal Reserve’s calendar lists the Sept. 15-16 meeting as one associated with a Summary of Economic Projections. The calendar also lists FOMC meetings for Oct. 27-28 and Dec. 8-9. The September meeting, the policy decision, and the associated projections will therefore be key items for market participants monitoring the rate outlook.

The table below reflects the Sept. 8 prediction-market snapshot reported by Federal News Network and is not a later or updated reading.

The source identified the August jobs report and the Sept. 11 CPI release as key inputs ahead of the decision. The report also noted the political pressure surrounding the meeting and the possibility that a hike could be pushed to a later meeting. For Bitcoin traders, the key takeaway is that the prediction-market reading showed a closely divided view of the September outcome.

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In climate change crypto news, Bitcoin miners have spent years pitching hydropower as proof the network can run clean. Ethiopia just showed what happens when the water backing that pitch stops showing up on schedule.

The state utility slashed electricity supplied to Bitcoin and other data-mining companies by roughly 75%, leaving them with about 23% of contracted power.

The question worth asking isn’t whether climate change killed Bitcoin mining in Ethiopia; it didn’t, but whether this is an isolated dry spell or a preview of what hydro-dependent mining hubs should expect more often.

This news dropped as BTC USD trades for $76,850, down -1.2% over the past 24 hours, following a -2.2% drop over the last seven days. Daily trading volume sits at $31.9Bn.

Climate Change Crypto News: Why Ethiopia’s Hydro-Powered Mining Bet Is Under Stress

Bitcoin-mining companies accounted for 35% of Ethiopian Electric Power Corp.’s revenue in the past financial year and consumed almost a third of the country’s total electricity production of 9,730 megawatts, according to Bloomberg.

That’s not a rounding error in a national power system; it’s a customer segment large enough to move the utility’s balance sheet and its dispatch decisions in the same breath.

EEP’s installed generation capacity grew 23% to that 9,730 MW figure over the past year, yet capacity utilization still fell to 60% against a 67% target, according to the Ethiopian Business Review. Data mining alone generated 50.37 billion birr in the last fiscal year, more than any other customer category.

The 23% figure making headlines is easy to misread. It’s the share of contracted mining supply that EEP is currently delivering, not 23% of Ethiopia’s total electricity consumption.

That distinction matters for anyone trying to size the real exposure here: mining’s slice of national output is still material, but the cut is a curtailment of one customer class, not a systemwide blackout.

For traders watching how operational risk feeds back into sentiment, it’s worth pairing this against the broader macro risks already weighing on BTC’s price action.

Cheap Renewable Power Is Still Weather-Dependent

The cut in power supply is primarily due to reduced inflows into Ethiopia’s hydroelectric dams, which generate about 95% of the Ethiopian Electric Power (EEP) output.

CEO Ashebir Balcha said the reduction was a pre-emptive measure ahead of a dry period, with incoming water levels tracking at least 20% below expectations.

Consequently, EEP adjusted its revenue and supply forecasts and reported losses of up to 50 megawatts per generating unit as reservoir levels declined.

While the situation highlights seasonal hydrological changes rather than direct climate change impacts, it underscores that a low-carbon power source isn’t always reliable. This distinction is important when considering Bitcoin price forecasting tied to stable global hashrate growth.

The Strongest Case Against Reading This as the Climate Change Crypto Reckoning

It’s tempting to read a 75% power cut as evidence that hydro-powered mining is fundamentally unsound. That reading overshoots what’s actually documented.

EEP said it plans to reassess its position in October, once clearer data on generation capacity for the new water year comes in – this reads as a seasonal management decision with a defined review point, not an announced phase-out.

The primary evidence describes a utility responding to declining inflows by protecting public supply, then explicitly planning to revisit the decision once the picture clarifies.

Broader claims circulating about a 2025 permit freeze, tariff reform, or a formal transition plan for crypto mining in Ethiopia sit outside what’s verified here and should be treated as separate reporting threads rather than confirmed facts tied to this event.

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In Cardano news today, Charles Hoskinson used a recent livestream to argue that Cardano’s long-term success hinges on the applications built atop its infrastructure. The Cardano founder urged the community and the Cardano Foundation to embrace Midnight and other major ecosystem projects.

Hoskinson made the remarks during a livestream titled “Devs versus Builders,” where he addressed criticism surrounding Midnight and its recent strategic changes. He said Cardano’s purpose extends beyond serving as a smart-contract platform or facilitating ADA transactions, arguing the network creates more value when developers use its infrastructure to build applications that attract real users, customers, and economic activity.

That framing is not new for Hoskinson. He made a similar argument in April, when he told critics that Cardano “needs to grow up or die” after a stake pool operator claimed Midnight’s early one-way bridge was wrecking the ADA ecosystem.

In the latest broadcast, Hoskinson questioned why some community members appear resistant to Midnight despite its scale within the ecosystem. He warned that pushing back against successful projects could discourage other developers from choosing to build on Cardano going forward.

Cardano’s Ecosystem and Midnight

Midnight is positioned as a privacy-focused blockchain and, per its own developer materials, aims to let applications shield sensitive data while remaining verifiable. Hoskinson reiterated during the livestream that Midnight should not be viewed as a separate venture or rival to Cardano, but as one of the largest projects operating within the same ecosystem.

He also placed responsibility on Midnight itself, urging the project to prioritize simplicity, universality, and low-cost operations. Technological improvements alone, he said, cannot overcome cultural challenges within an ecosystem.

This gap matters for traders watching if community friction translates into slower app deployment or thinner liquidity on either chain.

What Does The News Mean for Cardano Holders?

Hoskinson’s comments do not introduce new technical milestones for Midnight or ADA; they are a public appeal aimed at internal community dynamics.

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For traders, the relevant signal is less about price and more about whether the Cardano Foundation follows through on public promotion of Midnight, and whether the visible tension between “devs” and “builders” eases enough to keep developer activity flowing into the broader blockchain ecosystem.

Hoskinson closed by reiterating his own commitment to Cardano, noting he could step away but remains involved because he views the work as unfinished. That framing underscores the stakes he’s attaching to this particular ecosystem debate, not a market call, but a governance-and-culture argument he clearly wants resolved before it becomes a drag on builder confidence.

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Bitcoin open interest fell by 13.5% in 10 days, dropping from 321,497 BTC to 278,151 BTC even as the underlying price declined only about 5% over the same window. That gap between derivatives unwind, and spot price action signals deliberate repositioning.

Bitcoin price currently trades under $77,000, down from its September 3 high of $82,300 but little changed day over day. The open question is if the leverage reset has actually cleared the path to a clean support test at $76,000-$77,000, or simply transferred the burden onto spot demand and ETF flows.

Senate Majority Leader John Thune has scheduled a cloture vote on the CLARITY Act for today, 2:15 p.m. Eastern, the first full-chamber test of comprehensive crypto market-structure legislation. Republicans hold 53 seats, meaning they need at least seven Democratic votes to advance the bill, and possibly more if any Republican breaks ranks.

The revised 630-page draft, published September 10, folds in more than 114 Democratic provisions, including a new registration category for “non-decentralized” DeFi protocols with identifiable operators overseeing consensus rules or functionality. Distributed ledger technology and raw software code are explicitly excluded from that category.

Layered on top is a Federal Reserve rate decision due within 72 hours of the current market snapshot. Futures priced a 70% chance of a 25-basis-point hike as of September 10, up sharply from 52.2% a month earlier, undercutting the rate-cut narrative many crypto traders had been positioned for. More on how that repricing is showing up in options and futures markets is available via Cryptonews’ coverage of Fed-hike odds on Kalshi.

What the Leverage Reset Proves?

The 43,346 BTC drop in open interest happened before the catalysts, not after them, which is the structural detail that matters. Traders concluded the risk tied to two binary events couldn’t be adequately managed with leverage on, so they cut it proactively rather than getting forced out by a drawdown.

The spot side tells a related story. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust recorded $19.23 million in redemptions on September 11, or the largest single-day outflow among U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs that day, though barely 0.03% of IBIT’s reported $60.6 billion in assets. Earlier reporting on daily flow swings around this period underscores how concentrated the U.S. ETF market has become around a single vehicle.

That concentration is precisely why redemptions carry more weight than they did in 2024: ETF outflows convert into spot sales, and against a thinner free float, those sales move the price more.

It’s worth remembering the mechanism cuts both ways; three weeks of August inflows totaling $3.8 billion pushed Bitcoin from roughly $63,000 to $81,700, a rally built on the same structural sensitivity now working in reverse.

$76,000-$77,000: The Next Technical Test for Bitcoin Price

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The technical picture is split. TradingView’s weekly overview still reads buy, with long-term indicators intact, even as short-term sub-gauges sit neutral. InvestTech’s algorithmic overall read is a hold, but its one-to-six-week recommendation is negative, flagging a breakdown from a horizontal channel and a test of support near $77,200.

Our negative near-term signal centers on $76,500 as the level whose decisive breach would reinforce further downside, while the opposite side of that formation would flip the signal positive. In short, the weekly trend is still constructive, but the tape immediately in front of the CLARITY vote and the Fed decision is not.

On-chain analyst Garrett Jin has put a 70% probability on $60,000 marking the cycle bottom, which would place the current consolidation less than halfway. What’s clearer is the positioning itself: leverage has been cut, ETF-linked spot exposure has been trimmed, and capital reserves have been built for either direction.

Crypto markets are structured to absorb the outcome of this week’s votes and decisions, not to predict them.

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Ripple plans to invest as a limited partner in an institutional credit fund to lend its RLUSD stablecoin to fintech companies for working capital, as Clearpool announced an expansion onto the XRPL (XRP Ledger) in a governance proposal on September 11, 2026.

Developed in partnership with Cicada Partners and Hex Trust, this initiative aims to create the first institutional credit product on RLUSD.

Alessio Quaglini, co-founder of Clearpool and also CEO and co-founder of Hex Trust, gave this exclusive comment to CryptoNews.com regarding the announcement.

“We’re incredibly excited about this development. This initiative is a major milestone because it marks the very first institutional credit product built natively around Ripple’s new RLUSD stablecoin.” Quaglini said.

He added, “Ultimately, what we hope to achieve together is to unlock highly efficient, transparent working capital for fintechs while providing secure, compliant yield opportunities for institutional lenders.”

How the Proposed RLUSD Credit Rails Would Work Between Clearpool and XRPL

Clearpool’s plan separates the plumbing from the underwriting. Clearpool says it will build and operate curated credit vaults using XLS-65 Single Asset Vaults, a standard that pools deposits from multiple lenders into token-specific vaults with optional permissioning.

Loans would then be issued, serviced, and repaid through the XLS-66 Lending Protocol, which is designed to handle fixed-term, uncollateralized credit directly at the ledger level rather than through a smart contract.

Cicada Partners would sit on top of that infrastructure as the credit manager, sourcing borrowers, setting loan covenants and monitoring repayment health; the firm says it has underwritten more than $860M to date.

Ripple would provide capital as a limited partner alongside other institutional investors. Hex Trust is the designated institutional custodian partner, and these mechanics matter for a stablecoin regulatory landscape that is still taking shape globally.

Ripple, Cicada Partners, and the First Credit Fund on the XRP Ledger

The proposal clearly defines responsibilities: Clearpool serves as the infrastructure for loan origination, servicing, and repayment, while Cicada selects borrowers.

Ripple’s role is narrower: it functions as a limited partner alongside other institutional investors, providing capital without guaranteeing against losses. This clarifies Ripple’s financial commitment and confirms it is not a backstop for borrowers.

Clearpool highlights RLUSD’s growth as justification for the project, noting over $2.3Bn in circulation within two years, reflecting an established depositor and borrower base around the stablecoin.

Institutional interest in XRP-related products has grown, as shown by recent XRP ETF inflows, with yesterday (September 14) finishing with $11.26M in positive flows, per CoinGlass data.

Why Clearpool Is Betting on XRP Ledger Now

Clearpool aims to become the Morpho of private credit on the XRPL by using independent curators for isolated XLS-65 vaults, directing capital to borrowers through XLS-66.

This approach runs alongside the existing EVM-based Clearpool marketplace. With the XRPL’s late-2025 upgrade introducing native lending and compliance tools, Clearpool believes that early establishment can yield significant network effects.

Recent discussions about large XRP holder movements indicate growing institutional interest in the ledger. However, RLUSD holders and payments fintechs remain a targeted user base, without confirmed depositors and borrowers in operational vaults.

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XRP is trading at $1.40, with the price sitting just below the $1.42 resistance level as the Senate prepares for a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act. The setup highlights a clear tension: the daily chart remains cautiously constructive, while momentum on shorter timeframes has faded.

At $1.40, XRP is close to its daily pivot and caught between nearby support and price resistance. Daily indicators show that the structure has not broken, but intraday readings point to a market that has yet to establish a decisive direction.

The scheduled vote is procedural rather than a final decision on whether the CLARITY Act becomes law. It concerns the bill’s path through the Senate and is separate from subsequent legislative steps that would be needed for a final federal framework.

Senate Republicans released a revised, 630-page draft ahead of the September 15 vote. The updated language would require trading protocols controlled by identifiable people or groups to register with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The draft also retains ethics provisions that prohibit public officials, employees, and their spouses from issuing or sponsoring digital assets.

The legislation seeks to establish a federal digital-asset market framework and clarify regulatory responsibilities. Even if the procedural step advances, further Senate action would still be necessary before any final legislative outcome is reached. For XRP traders, the vote is therefore one factor alongside the chart rather than a standalone resolution of the market’s current indecision.

Why $1.40 XRP Price is A Genuine Market Standoff?

The daily chart gives XRP the benefit of the doubt. Price at $1.40 sits above both the 20-EMA at $1.37 and the 200-EMA at $1.33, while daily RSI reads 55.92. That places RSI above its midline without placing it near overbought territory.

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The 50-EMA at $1.29 remains below the 200-EMA, however, so the averages do not form a textbook uptrend stack. The structure instead reflects a sharp recovery after a decline, with shorter-term averages recovering faster than the medium-term average.

The daily MACD adds caution to the constructive read. The MACD line is at 0.03 against a 0.05 signal, producing a negative histogram of roughly -0.02. That soft bearish cross suggests that the advance above the moving averages has lost some forward momentum, even though the wider daily structure remains intact.

The crypto backdrop has also been weak. Total crypto market cap declined to $2.72 trillion, while Bitcoin dominance stood at 58.36%. The Fear & Greed Index read 69, in Greed territory, creating a contrast with the wider market pullback. U.S. diesel prices topped $6 per gallon amid the Ukraine and Iran conflicts, adding to risk-sentiment pressure.

The $1.39 Support and $1.42 Resistance Test

The daily pivot point is $1.41, with resistance at $1.42 and support at $1.39. XRP price is trading close to that pivot, a position consistent with a market waiting for a clearer catalyst.

A move above $1.42 would place the upper daily Bollinger Band near $1.46 in focus. A loss of $1.39 would return attention to the $1.33-$1.32 area, where the 200-EMA and lower Bollinger Band are close together, followed by the 50-EMA at $1.29.

Shorter timeframes present a softer picture. On the hourly chart, XRP at $1.40 sits just below the 20-EMA at $1.41, while RSI has slipped to 44.41. Average True Range near $0.02 indicates compressed volatility and consolidation rather than a clear trend.

The 15-minute chart is weaker still. XRP trades below its 20-EMA at $1.41 and 50-EMA at $1.42, while RSI is 30.72, near oversold territory. The 15-minute ATR is approximately $0.01, reinforcing the picture of a tightly compressed market.

The bullish case depends on XRP defending $1.39, reclaiming $1.42, and remaining above the daily 20-EMA. A positive turn in the daily MACD histogram would indicate that momentum is improving alongside the existing structure. A sustained bounce from the 15-minute RSI near 30.72 could offer an early sign of renewed buying, although it would not constitute confirmation by itself.

For now, XRP remains positioned around a narrow $1.39-$1.42 range. The daily chart still supports a cautiously constructive interpretation, but fading MACD momentum and softer lower-timeframe readings keep that interpretation conditional. The indicators are delivering a mixed signal, making the nearby pivot, support, and resistance levels the central focus.

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XRP price closed around $1.35 yesterday after trading as high as $1.43 two sessions earlier. Analyst identifies $1.38 as the level XRP needs to clear for a bullish breakout that could open a path toward $1.60. The setup remains conditional, however, with the token still trading near a closely watched support and resistance range.

Martinez, who posts as Ali Charts on X, has identified a triangle developing between $1.31-$1.35 support and $1.38 resistance. XRP needs to hold the support zone as it approaches the apex of that pattern, while a decisive move above $1.38 would confirm the breakout and could strengthen momentum.

Also, according to Ali, a break below $1.31 could instead weaken the near-term bullish structure and turn the current support area into resistance during a recovery.

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Why $1.38 XRP Matters More Than Most Price Resistance Levels?

Cost-basis data shows that more than 4.8 billion XRP were acquired between $1.31 and $1.38, making the band a potentially important demand zone. If buyers continue defending those levels, the concentration of holders near their acquisition prices could provide support beyond the triangle pattern itself.

The same data also highlights the resistance that may await above the breakout threshold. Approximately 1.99 billion XRP were acquired at around $1.60, followed by another 1.98 billion at around $1.68. That supply suggests $1.60 would be the next major test after a breakout rather than an unobstructed upside target.

Recent derivatives positioning provides a potentially constructive signal. Total XRP futures open interest fell roughly 16%, from 2.77 billion XRP on August 17 to 2.34 billion on August 31, even as XRP rallied almost 40% over the same period. That divergence suggests the rally was not simply driven by traders aggressively increasing leverage.

CME open interest rose roughly 36% to 387 million XRP, raising CME’s share of total XRP futures exposure from around 10% to 17%. The shift could indicate greater participation from professional and institutional traders, although CME positions can also be used for hedging rather than directional bullish bets.

The Technical Picture Isn’t Confirming Yet

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Despite the potential bullish setup, XRP has not yet broken resistance. The 14-day RSI sits around 49.6, which is effectively neutral, while the MACD remains in a sell signal. XRP is also below its 50-, 100-, and 200-period simple moving averages, with the 200-period average near $1.39.

That alignment matters because the $1.38 breakout threshold sits near another technically significant moving-average resistance level. A decisive or convincing move above $1.38 would be needed to strengthen the bullish case, rather than leaving XRP below the major moving averages that currently remain overhead.

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Bitcoin price has clawed back to above $70,000 from $60,000 in late August, and traders are now assigning an approximately 85% probability to a Federal Reserve rate hike on Wednesday following hotter-than-expected inflation data. But that’s not all. Long-end Treasury yields nearing 5% are tightening competition for capital, forcing a direct test of whether bitcoin’s momentum can survive a less accommodating Fed.

The rebound is real, but it sits well below the highs of last year. Bitcoin remains 50% off its October 2025 peak above $126,000, meaning this recovery is a bounce off a two-year low rather than a resumption of the prior bull trend.

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The immediate catalyst is a hot August inflation print that pushed market-implied odds of a Fed hike to around 85% heading into Wednesday’s decision, according to Reuters. Long-end Treasury yields pressing toward 5% compound the problem for non-yielding, risk-sensitive assets such as bitcoin by raising the opportunity cost of holding them.

That trader positioning is a different signal than what economists were forecasting just days earlier. A September 4-9 Reuters poll found 65 of 93 economists expected the federal funds rate to hold in the 3.50%-3.75% range at the September 15-16 meeting, with 52 of 93 predicting no hike for the rest of the year.

Matthew Dibb, chief operating officer of Stack Funds, said bitcoin had been in oversold territory for some time, adding that short-term traders are looking towards inflation figures and rate rises as short-term threats. Joseph Edwards, an independent financial researcher, was blunter about the immediate risk: “It would likely put a damper on the recent rally.”

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Structural Demand or Just a Positioning Rebound?

The case for calling this more than a dead-cat bounce rests on options positioning and ETF flows. The 25-delta skew, which measures demand for bullish calls against protective puts, turned positive for the first time in 12 months, implying traders are now paying a premium for upside exposure rather than downside protection.

Bitcoin ETFs backed that shift with nearly $2 billion in inflows the week of August 17, reversing eight straight weeks of outflows through May and June. Brian Vieten, senior analyst at Siebert Financial, framed the setup this way:

“We think bitcoin’s structural demand picture is improving, even as the near-term setup has become more vulnerable to macro and positioning-related volatility.”

None of that proves bitcoin has escaped its sensitivity to Treasury yields or Fed policy. A positive skew and renewed ETF demand show improved positioning heading into a binary event, and rising yields remain a textbook headwind for speculative assets by the primary source’s own framing.

Some bulls counter that Treasury buybacks aimed at capping yields could revive dollar-debasement concerns, which would favor scarce assets like bitcoin, but that remains a thesis rather than a confirmed flow.

Where Bitcoin Options Traders Are Positioned The Price Into December?

The clearest read on where positioning is concentrated comes from December 25 expiry open interest data via Derive.xyz, which shows two dominant strikes well above current spot levels.

That concentration at $80,000 and $100,000, paired with the positive skew, indicates Bitcoin traders are structuring bets around a continued grind higher rather than a retest of the October price peak.

If the Fed hikes and signals it’s the start of a broader tightening cycle, higher yields and reduced liquidity would likely pressure bitcoin and interrupt the rebound, consistent with Edwards’ warning. If the Fed holds the rally could get room to extend, though that outcome is a scenario, not a base case; Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has so far resisted committing the central bank to any defined rate trajectory.

A separate wildcard sits in Congress. The Senate is scheduled for a Tuesday procedural vote on the Clarity Act, a bill that would define which tokens qualify as securities versus commodities and potentially boost institutional adoption. The market has likely priced in that the bill won’t pass, given delays and continued opposition.

The post Bitcoin Price Signal Upside as Rally Meets Fed Risk appeared first on Cryptonews.

Kalshi traders assign a 79% probability to a 25-basis-point Fed hike at the Wednesday, September 16, 2026, FOMC meeting, with 19% pricing in no change and less than 1% split between a 50-basis-point move or either a 25-basis-point or 50-plus-basis-point cut, according to Kalshi markets.

That’s a market-implied probability, not a confirmed decision. Our call is that the Fed delivers the hike and pairs it with a higher-for-longer message, a combination that could pressure Bitcoin even if the rate move itself is already priced in.

The tension for traders isn’t really whether the Federal Reserve hikes. At 79%, that outcome is close to consensus. The tension is whether the FOMC’s accompanying language locks in expectations for further tightening or leaves room for a pause, and that distinction is what typically moves liquidity-sensitive assets in the hours after the statement drops.

What Is Driving the Hike Call on Kalshi?

The macro backdrop gives the Fed cover to move. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index rose +0.4% month over month in August and +3.4% over the trailing 12 months, a re-acceleration from July’s +0.1% monthly print.

Core CPI, which strips out food and energy, climbed 0.3% for the month and 2.4% year over year, still running well above the Fed’s 2% target.

Energy did much of the heavy lifting. BLS data show energy prices up 2.1% in August and 16.3% year over year, with gasoline alone up +3.9% for the month and +27.4% annually.

That’s a separate data point from the FOMC decision itself: the CPI release landed September 11, five days before the rate call, but it’s the clearest evidence the inflation fight isn’t over, and the strongest input behind the hike thesis.

For a deeper look at how that print maps onto specific price zones, see this breakdown of August CPI and Bitcoin levels.

Why the Decision May Matter Less Than the Message

A 79% probability suggests on Kalshi the hike is largely priced in, meaning Bitcoin and other risk assets often don’t react significantly to such anticipated outcomes.

Real market moves typically come from details like the statement’s tone, the dot plot, and any voting dissents, which current pricing doesn’t reflect.

Traders focus more on the Fed’s guidance than the actual hike, as a hawkish stance could tighten financial conditions and reduce risk appetite.

Conversely, signaling that the tightening cycle is nearing its end could change the market’s reaction to the same 25-basis-point hike. Essentially, traders are betting on which message the Fed will convey rather than the hike itself.

If the Fed Hikes, What Happens Next?

Three scenarios shape the near-term outlook, each representing forecasts rather than definitive outcomes.

Base Case: The Fed hikes by 25 basis points and issues hawkish guidance, likely pressuring Bitcoin and liquidity-sensitive assets, as this often strengthens real yields and the dollar.

Second Scenario: If the Fed hikes but clearly indicates it’s the final move in the tightening cycle, markets may view this as supportive for Bitcoin, turning a rate hike into a bullish signal based on the accompanying language.

Third Scenario: The Fed holds rates steady, currently assigned a 21% probability. This outcome would challenge the base case and likely create volatility, as it would be a surprise against strong hike expectations. The low odds of a 50-basis-point hike or a cut suggest limited potential for drastic shifts.

Don’t Miss: The Hottest Meme Coin Opportunities Silently Climbing the Crypto Ranks in September

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Senate Republicans have released another round of revisions to the CLARITY Act as they seek Democratic support ahead of a September 15 procedural vote on the cryptocurrency market-structure bill.

The latest version runs to 635 pages, adds provisions on ethics, enforcement, stablecoin yields, and digital-asset market operations, and represents a last-ditch bid to pass the CLARITY Act this year.

The CLARITY Act is a proposed framework for digital commodities. According to the Congressional Research Service summary of the House bill, it would generally give the Commodity Futures Trading Commission responsibility for regulating digital-commodity transactions.

This includes exchanges, brokers, and dealers. The measure also assigns the Securities and Exchange Commission a role in specified digital-commodity activities and transactions.

What Changed in the Revised 635 Page CLARITY Act Draft?

The revised text incorporates an ethics framework supported by President Donald Trump, restricting public officials from engaging in digital assets.

Under this framework, officials with significant crypto holdings must divest or place assets in a blind trust. Both the Department of Justice and state attorneys general will enforce these ethics rules, addressing previous Democratic concerns.

The Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act now focuses on Bank Secrecy Act compliance and removes protections for criminal proceedings.

The bill includes miners and validators in these narrowed protections. The bill also introduces a circuit-breaker mechanism for stablecoins, allowing federal regulators to intervene during significant withdrawals from community banks.

Additionally, the bill proposes stricter limits on vertical integration, including rules on affiliate trading and potential conflicts at digital commodity exchanges, while state consumer protection laws remain unchanged. Developer protections will not override derivatives regulations or alter rules for prediction markets.

Lummis Frames the Bill as Finished

Senate Banking Digital Assets Subcommittee Chair Cynthia Lummis said the bill followed a year of intense daily bipartisan negotiations and described it as ready. She said Trump had voluntarily agreed to ethics restrictions that she characterized as among the toughest applied to federal officials in U.S. history.

Lummis argued that Democrats had received the concessions they sought and should support the measure. Her comments came with the release of the final CLARITY Act text and focused on the ethics provisions added during negotiations.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong also voiced support for the CLARITY Act ahead of the Senate vote. Speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box Asia on September 10, Armstrong said the bill was ready for approval and cited support from law-enforcement groups, banks, and crypto companies.

Armstrong said the revisions addressed Coinbase’s main concerns with the legislation. Coinbase had previously raised several issues that it considered essential, according to reporting on the company’s position.

What Does the Vote Actually Decide?

The September 15 event is a procedural vote tied to the CLARITY Act. It follows Senate Republicans’ latest changes as they seek Democratic backing for the cryptocurrency market-structure measure.

The legislation itself would establish a regulatory framework for digital commodities, which it defines as digital assets that rely on a blockchain for their value.

Under the bill summary, the CFTC would generally regulate digital-commodity transactions, while the SEC would retain jurisdiction over certain activities and transactions involving digital commodities.

The framework also includes requirements for trade monitoring, recordkeeping, and the commingling of customer assets. It would subject digital-commodity exchanges, brokers and dealers to the Bank Secrecy Act for anti-money-laundering and related purposes.

The Senate’s consideration of the revised text therefore centers on a bill that combines market-structure provisions with the newly revised ethics and enforcement measures.

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The XRP Ledger processed a record 3,254 transactions in ledger 106,965,249 yesterday, but 2,000 of the news came from just 20 accounts sending identical 1-drop payments, each worth one-millionth of an XRP.

The new high overtook two earlier single-ledger marks of 2,713 and 2,768 transactions, both set within a day of the record. At least 890 transactions failed with tec result codes but still burned fees, and the 20-account batch alone paid about 0.04 XRP in fees while moving just 0.002 XRP.

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Twenty Wallets, One Ledger

Ledger 106,965,249 closed on Sunday, Sept. 13, holding 3,254 transactions, a number far outside the normal range for the network. A scan of 7,600 consecutive ledgers from 18:00 UTC on Sept. 13 to 02:00 UTC on Sept. 14 found 638,801 transactions in total, an average of about 84 per ledger, with only 43 ledgers in that window topped 2,000 transactions, and only the record ledger cleared 2,800.

Twenty accounts sent exactly 100 transactions each, contributing 2,000 of the 3,254 total, and every one was a 1-drop payment. Combined, that batch moved just 0.002 XRP, less than a cent at current prices, while each transaction paid a 20-drop fee, meaning the group burned roughly five cents in aggregate to generate a transaction record with effectively zero economic transfer.

The remaining activity was more typical of ordinary XRP Ledger usage: 458 OfferCreate orders on the built-in decentralized exchange, 229 ticket creations, 74 check cashes, and 22 trust-line changes.

At least 890 transactions in the ledger failed outright with tec result codes, mostly payments whose paths ran dry or fill-or-kill orders that could not be filled. Daily XRPL activity stayed above 2 million transactions through early September, according to the report, peaking at 2.572 million on Sept. 3, so the concentrated 1-drop batch stands out as an anomaly rather than a continuation of a broader adoption trend.

As wallet concentration has shown elsewhere on XRP, a small cluster of addresses can distort network statistics without reflecting a shift in genuine demand.

Hussein Zangana, the XRP Ledger Foundation’s community director known as Vet on X, flagged the news in a public post and said the pattern most likely reflected throughput testing, noting that simple XRP payments place a very low load on the network. He did not identify who was behind the batch.

XRP News: Why The Fees Didn’t Spike?

Under XRPL’s own transaction-result documentation, a tec failure still destroys the XRP paid as a transaction cost and consumes a sequence number, even though the underlying action never completes. That means failed payments and unfilled offers padded the ledger’s transaction count without delivering any successful transfer, inflating the record’s headline number relative to its actual economic content.

The ledger absorbed the load without a fee spike because XRPL uses dynamic size limits rather than fixed block caps like Bitcoin. The network’s soft limit rises when a ledger contains more transactions than expected and falls if consensus takes longer than five seconds, and early Monday, the expected ledger size sat at 3,082 transactions with the open-ledger fee still at the 10-drop minimum.

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A small sliver of the record ledger pointed to more substantive use: eight transactions carried memos from t54 labs’ x402 facilitator, the tool that lets AI agents pay for services in XRP and RLUSD, following the network’s milestone of 1 million AI agent transactions in July.

For traders, the takeaway is straightforward: a transaction record is not the same as a demand signal. The event is best read alongside other XRP catalysts this month that carry more direct implications for price, since whale-driven or bot-driven network activity has repeatedly diverged from actual buying pressure on XRP.

The post XRP News: XRPL Records 2K Transactions from 20 Wallets appeared first on Cryptonews.

Solana’s tokenized stockholder addresses climbed to 801,439 by the end of last week, up 88% from 424,894 at the start of the month. The news point to a rapid increase in the number of solana addresses counted in the tokenized stockholder category over less than two weeks.

Holder-address data can be useful for tracking an on-chain footprint, but it should not be treated as a census of new investors or new capital. The label identifies addresses associated with the category, and the reported figures do not separately identify wallet ownership, account relationships, or the duration for which each address held a tokenized stock.

The available reporting also does not identify a specific reason for the increase. The figures establish the change in the holder-address count, but they do not assign that move to a particular issuer, product, platform, or type of participant.

As a result, the data is most directly useful as a measure of activity and distribution at the address level.

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Where This News Fits Solana RWA Push?

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The tokenized-equity figure sits within Solana’s broader real-world-asset ecosystem. Solana’s ecosystem reporting said that, as of late July 2026, the network hosted $3.7 billion in non-stablecoin real-world-asset value across more than 313,000 holders.

That category includes tokenized Treasuries, public equities, private credit, reinsurance, sovereign debt, commodities, liquidity funds, and stablecoin settlement infrastructure.

Those figures measure a wider set of assets at an earlier point in time, so they should not be read as the same measure as the 801,439 tokenized-stock holder addresses reported for September. The RWA holder total and the tokenized-equity address total describe different categories and may also reflect different methods of measurement.

Solana’s ecosystem report also cited Blockworks data showing that 97% of all on-chain tokenized-equity spot volume to date had settled on Solana as of late July 2026. The report described tokenized equities as an area of accelerating RWA growth on the network, while noting that the category remains early relative to traditional public equity markets.

For readers following tokenized stocks, the 801,439 figure is best understood as an on-chain infrastructure metric. It indicates a larger recorded address footprint in the category between the two reported September dates, while leaving open questions about the number of unique holders represented by those addresses.

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