Bitcoin is approaching Friday’s August CPI report near $78,000, with $80,000 as the key level before a potential move toward $82,000-$83,000. The inflation release is also central to expectations for the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision, as Treasury yields and the dollar remain important parts of the market backdrop for crypto and equities.

Markets assign roughly a two-thirds probability to another Fed rate hike, based on futures pricing. That pricing could shift when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the CPI data, making the report an important test for Bitcoin’s next major level.

Economists expect August headline CPI to rise about 0.4% month over month and 3.4% year over year, while core CPI is expected near 0.2% monthly and 2.4% annually. Oil prices are above $110 a barrel, and Treasury yields are approaching 5%, adding to the focus on whether inflation remains elevated.

A hotter-than-expected reading could strengthen concerns that energy costs are contributing to broader inflation pressure. Wholesale prices rose in August, with the producer price index increasing 0.4% month over month and headline PPI rising 5.4% year over year. That annual PPI reading was 3.4 percentage points above the Fed’s 2% inflation target. Final-demand energy prices rose 4.2%, while goods prices broadly increased 1.1% and services prices rose 0.1%.

The PPI report arrived ahead of the CPI release and the Fed’s policy decision. Traders slightly increased their bets on a rate increase following the PPI data, with the odds close to 66% in CME Group FedWatch futures pricing.

What the Inflation Signal Does and Does Not Prove?

The market framework centers on the relationship between CPI, Fed expectations, Treasury yields, and risk appetite. A cooler CPI print could pull Treasury yields and the dollar lower, helping Bitcoin reclaim $80,000 and potentially reopening the path toward $82,000-$83,000.

A hotter reading, particularly a core result around 0.4% or above, could reinforce expectations for a September rate hike and bring $76,000 into focus.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller has suggested that a sufficiently hot inflation print could influence the September decision. At the same time, the CPI report is one input among several for policymakers, while market reactions can also reflect changes in Treasury yields, the dollar, and equity sentiment.

Bitcoin $80,000 Resistance and $76,000 Support

Bitcoin enters the CPI release near $78,000. In the cooler-inflation scenario outlined by the available market analysis, $80,000 is the level Bitcoin would need to reclaim before the $82,000-$83,000 area comes back into view. In a hotter-inflation scenario, $76,000 is the downside area in focus.

Bitcoin (BTC)

24h7d30d1yAll time

These price areas frame the immediate reaction discussed around the inflation release. The CPI data, rate expectations, Treasury yields, and the dollar could all shape how Bitcoin trades following the report.

If August CPI comes in cooler than the expected 0.4% monthly and 3.4% annual headline readings, Treasury yields and the dollar could soften. That outcome could help Bitcoin reclaim $80,000 and potentially reopen the path toward $82,000-$83,000. It could also support rate-sensitive equities, including the broader QQQ and SPY market measures cited in the available analysis.

If inflation runs hotter than expected, especially if core CPI is around 0.4% or above, expectations for a September rate hike could strengthen. Higher yields and a firmer dollar would place the $76,000 area back in focus for Bitcoin. Friday’s CPI release and the Fed’s upcoming decision, therefore, remain the key events shaping the near-term macro backdrop.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

The post CPI Maps and Bitcoin $76,000-$83,000 Scenarios appeared first on Cryptonews.

Brian Armstrong, Coinbase’s CEO, said Bitcoin reaching $400,000 by 2030 is a reasonable target, and described the $300,000-$400,000 range as very likely to be hit within that window, in a CNBC Squawk Box Asia segment. The call is Armstrong’s personal read on where Bitcoin’s price could land, not a formal Coinbase corporate forecast or a consensus market call.

Armstrong is the CEO of the largest U.S. crypto exchange, and his outlook carries weight because it’s grounded in policy developments he’s directly involved in shaping, not a spreadsheet model he’s publishing for Coinbase clients.

In the clip, Armstrong walked through the CLARITY Act and what greater regulatory clarity could mean for the crypto industry as a whole, tying the legislation to the pace at which institutional capital moves into digital assets. He also said he believes the Bitcoin trade has already bottomed and expects upside as pressure continues to build in global bond markets.

That bond-market framing is the more interesting piece for traders parsing his logic. Armstrong is effectively arguing that stress in sovereign debt markets pushes capital toward scarce, non-sovereign assets, a thesis long-time Bitcoin holders have made for years.

Coinbase itself sits at the center of that flow, and Armstrong’s comments arrive as the exchange continues pushing regulators toward a clearer rulebook for digital assets, a topic covered in more detail in our look at how regulatory clarity could unlock institutional capital.

Neither the CNBC segment nor Armstrong’s remarks lay out a specific valuation model, a probability weighting, or a precise timeline for the bottom he says has already formed; the forecast is directional conviction.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

Why Regulatory Clarity Keeps Coming Up

The CLARITY Act has become shorthand in these conversations for the broader push to define how digital assets get regulated in the U.S. Armstrong’s decision to lead with it signals where he thinks the real re-rating catalyst sits.

His argument, as framed in the CNBC segment, links clearer rules directly to wider institutional adoption. The logic being that large allocators need defined jurisdiction and compliance guardrails before committing larger positions to Bitcoin meaningfully.

That’s a familiar setup for anyone who traded through prior Bitcoin price prediction cycles tied to ETF approvals: the asset doesn’t need the legislation to pass to rally, but sustained institutional flow tends to follow policy certainty rather than lead it.

What Happens Next for Bitcoin?

Armstrong’s comments don’t reference a specific pending vote or implementation deadline, so traders shouldn’t treat passage of any legislation as imminent based on this interview alone. The more relevant variable in the near term is whether Bitcoin can confirm the bottom Armstrong referenced.

Bitcoin (BTC)

24h7d30d1yAll time

Until regulatory outcomes firm up, Armstrong’s $400,000 figure functions as a directional marker rather than a tradable price level, the kind of long-dated target that shapes positioning sentiment more than it dictates entries.

Whether it holds up depends less on Coinbase’s own roadmap and more on how quickly institutional capital and policy clarity actually materialize over the next several years.

The post Bitcoin News: Bond Stress and Regulation Shape Armstrong’s $400K BTC Prediction appeared first on Cryptonews.

Bitcoin (BTC) sits at $78,000, down -0.6% for the day, and barely holding the line it’s held for most of the week. That kind of stubbornness after a 23% weekly surge tells its own story and is leading investors to wonder if Bitcoin Hyper is the best crypto to buy right now.

Hunter Biden’s LAPTOP memecoin briefly touched a $110 billion market cap on launch day before crashing more than 99%, according to DexScreener data. Blockchain analytics firm Bubblemaps called it a “bloodbath”; roughly 80% of traders lost money.

The project’s own Medium post blamed sniper bots and thin liquidity, promising 4 million tokens for pool incentives and a burn tied to prediction-market resolutions.

That kind of first-day carnage is a useful reminder of what “high risk” actually looks like in this market. It’s also why the broader macro setup, like Bitcoin defending support and Ethereum consolidating near resistance, deserves more attention than another memecoin implosion.

Can Bitcoin Price Hit $80K This Week?

BTC trades at $78,314, down a negligible 0.01% over 24 hours after last week’s 23% rip to near-$78k. KuCoin’s daily report flags renewed macro headwinds, Brent crude above $100, and WTI near $96 as the drag keeping bulls from pushing through.

Support has held cleanly at $77,600–$77,900, with resistance capping gains around $80,000–$82,000.

Perpetual futures volume near $421Bn is elevated enough that RSI Hunter flags leverage risk, even as long-term holder sell pressure sits at a one-month low.

Bull case: a clean break above $80k on ETF inflows reopens the run toward prior highs.

Base case: continued consolidation between $77.6k and $80k while macro noise sorts itself out.

Bear case: a slide below $77,600 with rising yields as the catalyst. For a deeper breakdown, see this Bitcoin price prediction analysis.

Is Bitcoin Hyper the Best Crypto to Buy Right Now as it Targets Early Mover Upside as BTC Flirts With $78K Support

At $78k and a market cap north of $1.5 trillion, the math on further multiples gets harder every week; BTC doubling from here is a very different proposition than it was in 2020. That ceiling is exactly why infrastructure plays building on top of Bitcoin, rather than just holding it, are drawing fresh attention.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning itself as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with full SVM integration — smart contracts running at Solana-competitive speeds while settling back to Bitcoin’s base layer.

The presale has raised $33,119,143.07 so far, with tokens priced at $0.013686 and staking APY offered to early buyers. Its Decentralized Canonical Bridge aims to solve the actual problem- Bitcoin’s lack of programmability- rather than wrap it in another synthetic asset.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

The post Best Crypto to Buy Today as Bitcoin Tumbles to $78,000 appeared first on Cryptonews.

Malone Lam, a 22-year-old Singaporean and recent Miami resident, pleaded guilty in a Washington, D.C. federal court to one count of participating in a RICO conspiracy tied to the theft and laundering of more than $245 million in Bitcoin and cryptocurrency. He faces a maximum sentence of 20 years, according to court proceedings before U.S. District Judge Colleen Kollar-Kotelly.

The case centers on an August 2024 theft of more than 4,100 Bitcoin from a Washington-area victim, executed not through a protocol exploit but through impersonation and credential theft.

According to prosecutors, two alleged co-conspirators posed as representatives of Google and the Gemini cryptocurrency exchange to manipulate the victim into granting access to his Google Drive and revealing security codes. That access allegedly let Lam siphon off the Bitcoin holdings in one move.

No wallet was cracked; no private key was brute-forced. The attackers simply talked their way past the human layer that sits in front of every custody setup.

Lam is one of 18 defendants charged in the case and the 11th to plead guilty. Prosecutors describe him as an organizer for a network of young men who ran a string of cryptocurrency scams starting in 2023.

From Bitcoin Laundering to a Month-Long Spending Spree

Authorities say Lam helped launder and convert the stolen cryptocurrency into cash, which then funded a fleet of more than 30 cars, including custom Porsches, Lamborghinis, and Ferraris, a $2 million watch, and rented mansions in Miami. Nightclub spending alone reportedly hit $569,000 in a single evening at one Los Angeles club.

The run lasted a month before FBI agents arrested Lam in Miami. Per the indictment, an off-duty law enforcement officer had tipped him off that agents were en route, though the arrest went ahead regardless. In a recorded jailhouse call cited in the indictment, Lam told associates the outcome had exceeded even their own worst-case scenarios for what getting caught might look like.

The mismatch between the crime’s technical simplicity and its financial scale is the real story here. Social engineering doesn’t require exploiting Bitcoin’s underlying protocol. It requires exploiting the people and institutions standing between a holder and their keys. Google Drive access and a leaked security code did more damage here than any blockchain-level attack could.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

What Comes Next

Judge Kollar-Kotelly had not immediately scheduled Lam’s sentencing hearing at the time of the plea. He faces up to 20 years in prison on the single racketeering-conspiracy count, with the remaining defendants in the 18-person case still working through their own proceedings.

Bitcoin (BTC)

24h7d30d1yAll time

For traders and holders, the takeaway isn’t abstract: large balances sitting behind cloud-linked recovery methods, reused security codes, or support channels vulnerable to impersonation remain the softest target in the ecosystem.

Recovery of stolen funds, when it happens at all, typically comes through law enforcement asset forfeiture rather than any on-chain remedy, a process illustrated by past cases involving long-delayed Bitcoin recovery efforts tied to historic exchange failures.

The Lam case is a reminder that the weakest link in crypto security is rarely the cryptography.

The post Bitcoin Thief Pleaded Guilty: The $245M Social Engineering appeared first on Cryptonews.

The Elon Musk-backed Grok AI predicts BTC could hit a quarter of a million dollars by January 1, 2027, a figure sure to excite the Bitcoin community. The model predicts BTC could reach between $200,000 and $ 250,000 by the end of 2026.

Grok AI points to prior cycles showing diminishing percentage returns as market cap grows, and the current structure (ETFs, larger institutional ownership) can both amplify upside and mute extremes compared with pure retail-driven eras.

However, Bitcoin hitting $250K in 2026 would be a major milestone for the world’s largest digital asset and could serve as a springboard toward $1M.

Grok AI Predicts: The Bitcoin Price Path to $250,000

Near-term: Reclaim and hold above ~$80k–$85k, then accelerate through prior resistance toward the $100k–$125k zone (reclaiming or exceeding the 2025 ATH relatively quickly).

By late 2026 / January 1, 2027: $200,000–$250,000 as the core peak-bull range. This aligns with aggressive institutional forecasts (e.g., Bernstein’s higher-end scenario of ~$200k by mid-2027 under accelerated institutional/debasement demand).

It implies roughly 2.5–3× from current levels in four months, aggressive but within the realm of past Bitcoin liquidity-driven rallies when conviction and inflows align.

Stretch case (extreme FOMO + very strong macro): approaching or briefly tagging $300k territory, though sustaining that by the exact January 1 date would be exceptional.

Supporting longer-horizon references that inform the upside bias include models and analyst views pointing to $150k–$200k+ zones in 2027 under constructive scenarios, with some quantitative frameworks (e.g., stock-to-flow variants) historically more aggressive.

Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as BTC Tests Key Levels

A golden cross with historical 45-60% rally precedent is exactly the kind of setup that gets a trader’s pulse up, and rightly so. But here’s the disappointing math.

Even a 60% BTC move from here lands around $127,000, solid for holders, unremarkable for anyone chasing asymmetric upside at this market cap. That’s pushed capital rotation toward earlier-stage infrastructure plays sitting closer to the ground floor.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is building the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with native SVM integration, smart contracts that run faster than Solana itself, bridged to Bitcoin’s base-layer security through a decentralized canonical bridge.

The presale has raised $33,116,236.62 at a current token price of $0.0136859, with staking rewards on offer for early participants. The pitch is straightforward: Bitcoin can secure trillions but can’t run an app; Hyper aims to fix that without touching BTC’s trust model.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

The post Elon Musk Grok AI Predicts $250K Bitcoin Price by 2027 appeared first on Cryptonews.

Traders using the CME’s FedWatch tool put the FOMC September 2026 odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the Federal Reserve’s September 16 meeting at nearly 56%, CNBC reported.

The change followed Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s keynote speech at the central bank’s Jackson Hole symposium and left the September FOMC decision looking closely contested in market pricing.

For Bitcoin and other crypto assets, the immediate development is a shift in the interest-rate backdrop rather than evidence of a confirmed price response.

CNBC’s reporting documents changing rate expectations and a move in short-term Treasury yields, but it does not establish a corresponding move in Bitcoin, altcoins, crypto derivatives, or liquidations.

FOMC September 2026 Odds: A Jackson Hole Speech Reset Rate Expectations

The repricing was reflected across several market-based measures. Kalshi traders assigned a 48% probability to a quarter-point increase, while Polymarket traders indicated 49% odds that the Fed would raise rates. Fed funds futures traders, as measured through CME FedWatch, saw nearly a 56% chance of a quarter-point hike.

Before Warsh’s speech, odds that the Fed would keep rates unchanged in September were nearly 70%, CNBC reported. The article also noted that investors had previously been more focused on the possibility of a hike after the Fed’s July meeting, when three members of the Federal Open Market Committee disagreed with the decision to leave rates steady and argued that rates needed to move higher in response to elevated inflation.

Rate-hike odds then declined after a weaker-than-expected July employment report showed that the U.S. lost jobs and inflation cooled while remaining above the Fed’s 2% target. In his Jackson Hole remarks, Warsh said that better-than-expected summer inflation readings did not demonstrate that underlying trends had meaningfully improved. He said the central bank needed confidence that underlying inflation was moving toward its objective clearly and quickly enough.

What a Coin-Flip Fed Means for Bitcoin And What It Doesn’t Prove

The available evidence supports reassessing September policy expectations, not a settled conclusion about crypto-market consequences. Bitcoin may remain relevant to traders monitoring broader risk sentiment, but the cited reporting does not show that the change in Fed probabilities has already produced a specific Bitcoin-market outcome.

Short-term yields did respond to the speech. CNBC reported that the 2-year Treasury yield, which closely follows short-term Fed rate decisions, reached its highest level since late July. That reaction shows that interest-rate markets were responding to the possibility of a September move.

The inflation backdrop remains central to the debate. In an Aug. 5 speech, Fed Governor Lisa D. Cook said the personal consumption expenditures price index rose 3.7% in the 12 months through June, while core prices rose 3.3%.

Cook described inflation as too high and said she was prepared to support a rate increase if necessary, while also noting that disinflationary forces could move inflation toward the Fed’s target without an increase.

Cook also said the June unemployment rate was 4.2% and characterized the labor market as stable in a low-hire, low-fire environment. Her assessment illustrates why incoming inflation and employment data remain important to the policy discussion ahead of the meeting.

Maxi Doge Targets Early Mover Upside as Rate Hike Fears Cause Short-Term Panic

FOMC September 2026 odds of a rate hike pushing above 50% are exactly why traders looking for asymmetric upside are rotating attention toward earlier-stage plays with room to actually multiply.

Enter Maxi Doge ($MAXI), a meme token built around 1000x-leverage trading culture and a 240-lb canine mascot that embodies the “never skip leg-day, never skip a pump” ethos.

The presale has raised $4.8M so far, with tokens priced at $0.0002837 and dynamic APY staking live for early holders. Standout features include holder-only trading competitions with leaderboard rewards and a Maxi Fund treasury earmarked for liquidity and partnerships.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

The post FOMC September 2026 Odds for a Rate Hike Surpass 50% appeared first on Cryptonews.

In Bitcoin news today, a British investor, identified only as Chris, has recovered all 61 Bitcoin he lost access to more than 12 years ago after the collapse of the early UK exchange Intersango.

The holdings are worth roughly £3.3M. His individual claim was resolved through negotiation rather than a courtroom decision after lawyers assembled records to establish that the coins belonged to him.

Chris invested £1,500 in Bitcoin in 2011, when the cryptocurrency traded at around £2.94 per coin. He bought through Britcoin, which later became Intersango. According to CEL Solicitors, which handled the claim, he instructed the firm in January 2026, and the case was settled on May 28, roughly four months later.

Establishing ownership required historical bank statements, emails, exchange records and documents prepared for proceedings in US courts. CEL Solicitors has said more than 5,500 BTC connected to former Intersango users have been traced, although each claimant must establish ownership of specific holdings.

Bitcoin News Today: From Frozen Account to Negotiated Settlement

Intersango attracted thousands of users during Bitcoin’s early years before running into trouble in late 2012. Its website went offline in early 2014, and customers attempting withdrawals received no response. Chris found his account frozen when he tried to move his coins, which were then worth roughly £4,000.

After several unsuccessful attempts to contact the company, Chris eventually treated the holdings as lost. As Bitcoin’s value increased over the following years, he told LBC that watching the price rise was difficult after he had written off the coins. He tried again to recover the assets in early 2026 after his wife encouraged him to contact CEL Solicitors.

Ryan Sweetnam, director of financial litigation at CEL Solicitors, said the firm had to prepare documentation for US court proceedings before it could resolve the claim.

The process took time, but Chris’s individual matter ultimately ended through negotiation without a judge deciding the claim. The firm says the 61 BTC later reached a wallet Chris controls.

Chris has since transferred the recovered holdings to an FCA-regulated platform. He said he plans to retain part of the amount in crypto and convert some into cash.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

A Wider Pool of Stranded Coins

Intersango was not regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, leaving Chris with limited options when the exchange stopped operating.

His case differs from a lost-wallet recovery involving a forgotten private key or password. The coins remained inaccessible because an exchange holding customer assets ceased operating.

The three Intersango co-founders have been involved in litigation over the platform’s closure. During those proceedings, it was alleged that one founder holds about 5,500 BTC, valued at around £500M, with at least part of the holdings potentially belonging to former customers. Sweetnam said the litigation acknowledged that assets connected to former Intersango users still existed.

Former users pursuing similar crypto recovery claims may need old bank statements, exchange emails and other records to support their cases. An email address originally used to register an Intersango account may also provide a starting point for tracing an account.

What Comes Next for Other Claimants

In other Bitcoin news, other former Intersango customers may pursue individual claims, but each will need to establish that the specific assets sought belong to them. Sweetnam said the process could take time even where there is an acknowledged debt and an effort to return assets.

The UK’s regulatory environment for crypto businesses has changed substantially since Intersango stopped operating, although the full authorization regime has not yet taken effect. The FCA’s application period for the new regime runs from September 30, 2026, through February 28, 2027.

The regime is due to take effect on October 25, 2027, when trading platforms, custodians, stablecoin issuers and other covered businesses will need authorization to conduct regulated crypto activities in the country.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

The post Bitcoin News: 61 BTC Returned After 12 Years Frozen in Intersango Account appeared first on Cryptonews.

In Trump crypto news, US employers added 162,000 jobs in August, far above the roughly 65,000 economists had expected, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%.

Bitcoin’s reaction was immediate: the asset slid from above $81,000 into a range spanning the high-$78,000s to low-$80,000s as traders repriced expectations for near-term Federal Reserve policy.

The question now is whether a single strong report derails a rally that institutional flows have spent weeks rebuilding, or simply adds uncertainty ahead of the September 15–16 meeting.

Why the Jobs Report Revived Rate-Hike Bets

August’s payroll growth was well above the roughly 31,000 average monthly gain recorded over the trailing 12 months, marking a sharp rebound from the softer hiring seen earlier in the summer.

That kind of acceleration weakens the case for immediate rate cuts and gives the Fed more reason to hold, or potentially tighten, policy at its next meeting.

Traders responded by increasing expectations that the Fed could raise rates rather than cut them, a repricing that showed up quickly in Bitcoin’s price action.

The shift reflects market expectations ahead of the meeting rather than a policy decision, but those expectations can influence risk assets before the Federal Open Market Committee delivers its verdict.

Trump Crypto News: Lower-Rate Push Meets a Hawkish Data Signal

Donald Trump used Truth Social to press the Federal Reserve to lower rates, arguing that the United States had become a stronger credit and should have lower borrowing costs. He also criticized the Fed Board’s approach and called on it to act patriotically.

The market’s reaction moved in the opposite direction. A stronger labor market is typically read as reducing the urgency for cuts, and traders raised rate-hike expectations after the report rather than pricing in the easing Trump was seeking.

Why Bitcoin Is Exposed to the Fed Debate

Bitcoin’s sensitivity to Fed policy has been on display through the summer. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech sent Bitcoin down to $77,000 and pushed rate-hike odds to 57%, illustrating how policy language can move prices before an actual decision.

That reversed on September 3, when Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s more neutral remarks triggered a 5% rally in Bitcoin and coincided with $730.8M in net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs.

Rate-hike odds subsequently fell toward 50%, leaving markets close to a coin toss between a hike and a hold heading into the jobs report, even with Trump putting pressure on the Fed via his crypto social media platform.

The inflow figure is notable because institutional demand continued even as rate expectations shifted. The August jobs numbers moved sentiment back toward the hawkish side, but it did not change the recently strengthened ETF flows.

Trump Crypto News: What the September Fed Meeting Could Mean for Bitcoin

In other Trump crypto news, the September 15–16 meeting is the next decision point, while the period leading up to it remains focused on adjusting expectations.

If strong labor data keeps rate-hike expectations elevated into the meeting, restrictive policy would remain the central concern for Bitcoin and other risk-sensitive assets.

An unexpected cut could trigger a sharper Bitcoin rally, given the recent strengthening in institutional ETF flows. However, a cut prompted by a serious economic slowdown would carry a different signal.

Past scenarios indicate that crypto could initially sell off if easing is tied to visible economic deterioration rather than a more favorable policy backdrop.

For now, markets remain close to a genuine toss-up between a hike and a hold, with the August jobs report tilting sentiment toward the hawkish side without settling the outcome.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

The post Trump Crypto News: BTC $81,000 Rejection Puts September Fed Meeting in Focus appeared first on Cryptonews.

Vitalik Buterin has rejected a forecast that artificial intelligence could cut Bitcoin price by more than half within two years. The Ethereum co-founder said his existing crypto holdings already place roughly 90% of his net worth on the opposite side of that view.

Bitcoin is at just under $80,000 after reaching a three-month high of $82,500 on September 3. Using a price near $80,000 as a reference point, a 50% decline would place Bitcoin at $40,000.

Shapira, a Silicon Valley investor and host of the Doom Debates podcast, said he had 50% confidence that Bitcoin would lose more than half its value within two years because AI could undermine the security or robustness guarantees that investors expect from the network.

His concern is that faster AI could eventually create new attacks against the technology protecting Bitcoin. The wording of Shapira’s claim focuses on the security guarantees people expect from Bitcoin, while the report describes the possible impact of AI on those assumptions.

For the crypto market, the debate separates concerns about Bitcoin’s technical foundations from concerns about how participants could react to a perceived threat. A discussion of AI-related risks does not by itself establish that Bitcoin’s cryptography has been broken, but it has placed attention on the network’s ability to address new security challenges.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

Buterin’s Reply and The Size of The Bet

Buterin responded that he takes the opposite side of Shapira’s forecast. He said he is optimistic about cybersecurity in the long term and expects Bitcoin to handle issues that do not require a broad social consensus.

His explanation distinguished between network-level issues and a genuine break of Bitcoin’s underlying cryptography. Developers, node operators, and mining pools could upgrade clients or infrastructure to address some network-level attacks. Buterin described the probability of actual breaks in Bitcoin’s hash algorithms or proof-of-work as tiny.

Buterin also said he would offer a bet, but that his existing holdings already amount to taking this position with about 90% of his net worth. He noted that the same question could apply to Ethereum, reflecting the relevance of cryptographic assumptions across crypto networks.

In a separate discussion, Buterin pointed to advances in succinct proofs and fully homomorphic encryption in 2026. The same report said Ethereum’s roadmap overhaul on August 10 elevated quantum safety as a priority.

Three competing AI vs. Bitcoin theses

Shapira is not the only figure to link AI with potential pressure on Bitcoin. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has warned that AI-driven credit stress could prompt a market sell-off and push Bitcoin below $60,000. Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff has argued that AI could compete with Bitcoin for investment capital, electricity, and data-center resources.

These positions address different potential pressures. Shapira’s concern centers on security expectations around the Bitcoin network. Hayes’ warning concerns a wider market sell-off, while Schiff’s argument focuses on competition for resources and investment capital. None of these views establishes that an AI-driven event will occur.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

What Bitcoin Price Action Currently Says?

Bitcoin had stalled below an $80,000 to $82,200 resistance band over the weekend, trading between $79,750 and $80,100 during Saturday activity. The same report is showing that wallets holding at least 100 BTC added about 60,000 BTC in August, while smaller wallets sold a similar amount.

Bitcoin (BTC)

24h7d30d1yAll time

That reported accumulation does not settle the disagreement between Shapira and Buterin. It is one market data point alongside a debate that is primarily about potential AI-related security risks and the ability of Bitcoin’s ecosystem to respond to them.

The disagreement leaves several issues at the center of the discussion. Shapira’s claim concerns the possibility that AI could undermine Bitcoin’s expected security guarantees and coincide with a decline of more than 50% over two years. At a Bitcoin price near $80,000, that scale of decline would equate to a level around $40,000.

The available reporting presents these as competing views about AI, security, and market pressure. It does not establish which view will prove correct over the two-year period discussed by Shapira.

The post Bitcoin Crash? 90% of Buterin’s Net Worth Opposes AI appeared first on Cryptonews.

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF recorded $730.8 million in net inflows on September 3. BlackRock’s IBIT led the session with $454 million in net inflows. That was well over half of the total.

The result offers a fund-by-fund view of where net creations and redemptions were recorded for the day. The daily flow figures can be revised as late fund reports are received, so totals should be read as tracker data for the reported trading session.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

IBIT Bitcoin ETF Dominance Leaves the Rally Concentrated

IBIT’s $454.0 million inflow was substantially larger than that of the other funds reporting positive flows on September 3. ARK 21Shares’ ARKB recorded $137.7 million, while Fidelity’s FBTC recorded $74.4 million. Together, those three funds accounted for the bulk of the day’s reported positive flows.

Several additional products also recorded inflows. Grayscale’s Bitcoin Mini Trust, listed as BTC in the tracker, added $48.8 million. Bitwise’s BITB added $24.8 million, Grayscale’s GBTC added $8.2 million, and Morgan Stanley’s MSBT added $7.7 million.

Bitcoin (BTC)

24h7d30d1yAll time

The daily breakdown was not positive across every product. VanEck’s HODL recorded a $19.6 million net outflow, while WisdomTree’s BTCW recorded a $5.2 million net outflow. Franklin’s EZBC, Invesco Galaxy’s BTCO, and CoinShares’ BRRR each showed zero flow in the tracker for the date.

The concentration in IBIT is an important context for the $730.8 million headline figure. A large complex-wide total can include different outcomes among individual funds, and the September 3 data show that the largest contribution came from one product.

Earn $50 and Enter $300K Prize Draw on EdgeX

What Would Confirm the Trend

One day’s flow data provides a snapshot rather than a complete pattern. The tracker shows that daily totals can vary materially from one session to the next, including both inflow and outflow days in its historical table. It also explains that a daily figure represents net creations or redemptions across the funds.

For readers assessing the September 3 total, the useful distinctions are the overall net flow, the distribution of flows among issuers, and the possibility of later revisions. The table below separates the reported fund-level results from the complex-wide total.

Coinfuty describes its tracker as covering daily creations and redemptions, total net assets, Bitcoin held in trust, and premium or discount to net asset value. It says figures are updated once per U.S. trading day and that a dash can indicate that a fund has not yet reported rather than a zero value.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

The post Bitcoin ETF News: BlackRock IBIT Captures 62% of Inflows appeared first on Cryptonews.

Bitcoin now buys 18 ounces of gold, the highest reading on that ratio since January, and it’s climbing while both assets rally together after the Fed’s job data news. The number forces a specific question onto the table: is Bitcoin capturing a durable share of the safe-haven trade from gold, or is it simply moving faster through a door gold already opened?

The bitcoin-to-gold ratio is a straightforward comparison: bitcoin’s dollar price per coin divided by gold’s dollar price per ounce. At 18.17, one bitcoin now covers a little over 18 ounces of the metal, and TradingView data pegs that as the strongest relative showing for bitcoin since January.

In dollar terms, Bitcoin is trading around $80,800 to $81,000. That places BTC firmly in a zone traders have watched all week closely, with the asset also grinding back above $81,000 on shifting rate-hike expectations.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

Debt Fears News Are Driving Bitcoin

Both bitcoin and gold spent months lagging the AI-driven equity boom running through U.S. and Asian markets. Now both are rallying at the same time. The move specifically to fears that heavily indebted governments will lean on currency debasement to inflate away their obligations, rather than to shifts in bond yields.

The fiscal backdrop supports that reading. Every major advanced economy except Switzerland now carries a debt-to-GDP ratio above 100%, and the U.S. leads that group on primary deficit, the shortfall that remains once interest payments are stripped out. Policymakers, for their part, are betting on growth rather than austerity to close the gap.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent captured that stance at the G20 finance ministers’ meeting in Asheville, North Carolina, saying the world is awash in debt and that growth is the only realistic way out, rather than shrinking the debt pile through spending cuts.

SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci read that line as an unintentional case for bitcoin, arguing on X that Bessent had just handed the market bitcoin’s entire pitch without meaning to.

Traders weighing how far that logic extends into rate policy should also watch shifting September rate-cut odds, since Fed positioning feeds directly into how aggressively the debasement trade gets pressed.

What The Ratio Proves?

Bitcoin (BTC)

24h7d30d1yAll time

The 18 reading confirms one thing cleanly: Bitcoin has gained relative strength against gold since January, inside a broader hard-asset rally that’s lifting both. Bitcoin advocates frame that outperformance as validation of the asset’s core pitch.

It has just a fixed supply of 21 million coins, and a structure that sits outside the traditional financial system, immune to the kind of policy decision that can devalue a fiat currency overnight.

That argument is real, and it’s the same one that’s driven every prior bitcoin-as-digital-gold cycle. What the ratio does not establish is that this particular move will persist, or that it marks a permanent reallocation of store-of-value demand away from the metal. A rising ratio can reflect exactly what advocates claim, or it can reflect bitcoin’s higher volatility, simply amplifying the same debasement narrative faster than gold can move.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

The post Bitcoin News: BTC to Gold Ratio Hits 18 as Both Assets Rally appeared first on Cryptonews.

Kalshi is pricing a 25-basis-point September rate increase at 59% against 42% for no change. Other reported measures put the probability at about 60% to 68% before the September 15-16 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. On the other hand, Fed rate-cut odds have dropped to just 1%, as all hope of a possible cut fades.

That range creates a clear question for risk assets, including Bitcoin. If the Federal Reserve holds rates while market pricing continues to favor an increase, the difference between the expected outcome and the decision could prompt a reassessment of bearish positioning.

A hold alone would not establish a bullish outcome; the market response would also depend on the Fed’s accompanying message. A hold, accompanied by a dovish speech from new SEC Chair Kevin Warsh, could provide a boost to the crypto market.

Fed Rate Cut Odds Hit Near-0%: Why Has the Hold-or-Hike Tension Intensified?

The repricing follows a public policy split. Trump said that US interest rates were too high and said he respected Kevin Warsh and his responsibility to make the necessary decision. He had previously said he would not have selected Warsh to lead the Fed if he wanted interest-rate increases.

Warsh’s Jackson Hole address emphasized inflation and indicated that policymakers still had work to do if price pressures were not moving toward the Fed’s 2% target quickly enough.

The rate market subsequently made a September increase its most heavily priced outcome. The current Kalshi market snapshot shows a total volume of $31.3M.

The reported probabilities vary by venue and measurement time. That makes the range more useful than any single reading: the central point is that markets had shifted toward expecting tighter policy less than three weeks before the meeting.

The Statements Driving the Repricing

Trump’s objection to prevailing rates sits alongside his stated respect for Warsh’s role, leaving markets to assess the Fed chair’s signals rather than the White House’s preference. Warsh’s inflation-focused message from his Jackson Hole debut became a key reference point for the September decision.

The shift in rate expectations also coincided with pressure across other markets. FinanceFeeds reported Nasdaq-100 futures down 1.19% to 29,163.25, Dow futures lower by 341 points to 52,899, and S&P 500 futures down 0.62% to 7,651.50 in Tuesday premarket trading.

WTI October crude was up 2.44% at $87.85, while Brent traded near $90, adding another inflation-sensitive input to the market backdrop.

With Fed Rate Cut Odds Slashed, a Hold Could Be Bullish for Bitcoin

The distinction between the rate decision and market expectations is central. A Fed hold would leave rates unchanged and would not, by itself, signal easier policy. It could be interpreted as a dovish surprise only if markets still strongly favored an increase immediately before the decision and if the Fed’s guidance did not offset that surprise.

For Bitcoin, that distinction means a hold could prompt a reassessment of positions built around a rate increase, but it would not guarantee an advance. A hold accompanied by language that keeps further tightening firmly in view could produce a very different reaction from a hold paired with softer guidance. The decision, the policy statement, and the broader interpretation of inflation risks would therefore need to be considered together.

The wider macro setting underscores that uncertainty. The 10-year Treasury yield was reported in a range of roughly 4.75% to 4.80%, with Trading Economics describing a fifth consecutive session of rising yields and the highest level since January 2025. Higher yields and oil prices were among the factors weighing on risk assets in the reported market moves.

Forward Scenarios Into the September Meeting

Three broad outcomes frame the approach to the September FOMC decision. If rate-increase odds remain elevated and the Fed holds with relatively soft guidance, the gap between market pricing and the decision could support a reassessment across risk assets, including Bitcoin. That would be the scenario most consistent with a potential short-squeeze discussion.

If the Fed raises rates, the outcome would align more closely with the probabilities reported by Polymarket, CME FedWatch, Fed funds futures reporting, and Trading Economics.

If the Fed holds while stressing that additional tightening remains possible, the apparent dovish surprise would be weaker. In either case, the relevant question is not only whether the Fed changes rates, but how the decision compares with the expectations that have developed since Jackson Hole.

Inflation developments, Treasury yields, oil prices, and the evolution of rate probabilities remain part of the backdrop into the September 15-16 meeting. The available evidence supports a market focused on a possible increase, rather than a single definitive probability or a predetermined reaction in Bitcoin.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

The post Fed Rate Cut Odds Slashed as Kalshi September Hike Bets Reach 60%–68% appeared first on Cryptonews.

Bitcoin now buys 18 ounces of gold, the highest reading on that ratio since January, and it’s climbing while both assets rally together after the Fed’s job data news. The number forces a specific question onto the table: is Bitcoin capturing a durable share of the safe-haven trade from gold, or is it simply moving faster through a door gold already opened?

The bitcoin-to-gold ratio is a straightforward comparison: bitcoin’s dollar price per coin divided by gold’s dollar price per ounce. At 18.17, one bitcoin now covers a little over 18 ounces of the metal, and TradingView data pegs that as the strongest relative showing for bitcoin since January.

In dollar terms, Bitcoin is trading around $80,800 to $81,000. That places BTC firmly in a zone traders have watched all week closely, with the asset also grinding back above $81,000 on shifting rate-hike expectations.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

Debt Fears News Are Driving Bitcoin

Both bitcoin and gold spent months lagging the AI-driven equity boom running through U.S. and Asian markets. Now both are rallying at the same time. The move specifically to fears that heavily indebted governments will lean on currency debasement to inflate away their obligations, rather than to shifts in bond yields.

The fiscal backdrop supports that reading. Every major advanced economy except Switzerland now carries a debt-to-GDP ratio above 100%, and the U.S. leads that group on primary deficit, the shortfall that remains once interest payments are stripped out. Policymakers, for their part, are betting on growth rather than austerity to close the gap.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent captured that stance at the G20 finance ministers’ meeting in Asheville, North Carolina, saying the world is awash in debt and that growth is the only realistic way out, rather than shrinking the debt pile through spending cuts.

SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci read that line as an unintentional case for bitcoin, arguing on X that Bessent had just handed the market bitcoin’s entire pitch without meaning to.

Traders weighing how far that logic extends into rate policy should also watch shifting September rate-cut odds, since Fed positioning feeds directly into how aggressively the debasement trade gets pressed.

What The Ratio Proves?

Bitcoin (BTC)

24h7d30d1yAll time

The 18 reading confirms one thing cleanly: Bitcoin has gained relative strength against gold since January, inside a broader hard-asset rally that’s lifting both. Bitcoin advocates frame that outperformance as validation of the asset’s core pitch.

It has just a fixed supply of 21 million coins, and a structure that sits outside the traditional financial system, immune to the kind of policy decision that can devalue a fiat currency overnight.

That argument is real, and it’s the same one that’s driven every prior bitcoin-as-digital-gold cycle. What the ratio does not establish is that this particular move will persist, or that it marks a permanent reallocation of store-of-value demand away from the metal. A rising ratio can reflect exactly what advocates claim, or it can reflect bitcoin’s higher volatility, simply amplifying the same debasement narrative faster than gold can move.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

The post Bitcoin News: BTC to Gold Ratio Hits 18 as Both Assets Rally appeared first on Cryptonews.

Bitcoin was trading almost flat at $77,700 as crypto traders awaited Friday’s U.S. jobs report. The data could influence expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next major move. Ethereum was also holding near $2,400.

The market was in a wait-and-see mode ahead of the employment release. Bitcoin’s limited move and Ethereum’s similarly quiet trading reflected a period of caution as traders looked for a clearer signal from the U.S. data.

Friday’s report could either reinforce or alter the market’s view of the policy outlook. For crypto traders, that makes the release a key focus while Bitcoin remains near its current level.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

Why Crypto ETF Demand Matters

The flat price action comes alongside signs of resilience in Bitcoin holdings. About 68% of all Bitcoin in circulation is currently in profit despite global uncertainty. That measure indicates that a substantial share of the supply is above its purchase price.

At the same time, demand for Bitcoin ETFs has become less consistent after strong inflows in August. The pattern hints that large investors have been less active lately, even as Bitcoin has held near $77,700.

Bitcoin (BTC)

24h7d30d1yAll time

Avinash Shekhar, the CEO of Indian Crypto Exchange, has urged a cautious approach to Bitcoin accumulation. He said investors may benefit from seeking confirmation instead of chasing sudden price moves, and suggested gradual accumulation at defined levels while watching trading volumes and Bitcoin’s ability to sustain higher levels.

The combination of profitable Bitcoin supply and less consistent ETF demand describes a market with signs of resilience but without the same steady demand seen during the August inflow period.

Trade Bitcoin on Bybit and Get a Chance to Win Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop

Bitcoin near $77,700: the snapshot, and its limits

The available snapshot as of September 3 shows Bitcoin near $77,700 and down 0.1%, Ethereum near $2,400, roughly 68% of Bitcoin supply in profit, and ETF demand becoming less consistent after August’s strong inflows. Markets also see a 64% chance of a Fed rate hike.

The supplied information does not identify confirmed support or resistance levels, moving-average signals, or a specific breakout threshold. The available evidence instead points to a market waiting for the jobs report and its possible effect on expectations for the Fed.

Friday’s Bureau of Labor Statistics release could shift expectations around the Fed’s next move. That possibility is why traders are focused on the report while Bitcoin remains near $77,700.

Geopolitical tensions add risk alongside possible Fed rate hikes. The supplied evidence says that any price breakout could set the next trend for crypto, while the market’s current position remains one of caution ahead of the jobs data.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

The post Bitcoin Waits for Jobs Data as ETF Demand Cools appeared first on Cryptonews.

Kalshi is pricing a 25-basis-point September rate increase at 59% against 42% for no change. Other reported measures put the probability at about 60% to 68% before the September 15-16 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. On the other hand, Fed rate-cut odds have dropped to just 1%, as all hope of a possible cut fades.

That range creates a clear question for risk assets, including Bitcoin. If the Federal Reserve holds rates while market pricing continues to favor an increase, the difference between the expected outcome and the decision could prompt a reassessment of bearish positioning.

A hold alone would not establish a bullish outcome; the market response would also depend on the Fed’s accompanying message. A hold, accompanied by a dovish speech from new SEC Chair Kevin Warsh, could provide a boost to the crypto market.

Fed Rate Cut Odds Hit Near-0%: Why Has the Hold-or-Hike Tension Intensified?

The repricing follows a public policy split. Trump said that US interest rates were too high and said he respected Kevin Warsh and his responsibility to make the necessary decision. He had previously said he would not have selected Warsh to lead the Fed if he wanted interest-rate increases.

Warsh’s Jackson Hole address emphasized inflation and indicated that policymakers still had work to do if price pressures were not moving toward the Fed’s 2% target quickly enough.

The rate market subsequently made a September increase its most heavily priced outcome. The current Kalshi market snapshot shows a total volume of $31.3M.

The reported probabilities vary by venue and measurement time. That makes the range more useful than any single reading: the central point is that markets had shifted toward expecting tighter policy less than three weeks before the meeting.

The Statements Driving the Repricing

Trump’s objection to prevailing rates sits alongside his stated respect for Warsh’s role, leaving markets to assess the Fed chair’s signals rather than the White House’s preference. Warsh’s inflation-focused message from his Jackson Hole debut became a key reference point for the September decision.

The shift in rate expectations also coincided with pressure across other markets. FinanceFeeds reported Nasdaq-100 futures down 1.19% to 29,163.25, Dow futures lower by 341 points to 52,899, and S&P 500 futures down 0.62% to 7,651.50 in Tuesday premarket trading.

WTI October crude was up 2.44% at $87.85, while Brent traded near $90, adding another inflation-sensitive input to the market backdrop.

With Fed Rate Cut Odds Slashed, a Hold Could Be Bullish for Bitcoin

The distinction between the rate decision and market expectations is central. A Fed hold would leave rates unchanged and would not, by itself, signal easier policy. It could be interpreted as a dovish surprise only if markets still strongly favored an increase immediately before the decision and if the Fed’s guidance did not offset that surprise.

For Bitcoin, that distinction means a hold could prompt a reassessment of positions built around a rate increase, but it would not guarantee an advance. A hold accompanied by language that keeps further tightening firmly in view could produce a very different reaction from a hold paired with softer guidance. The decision, the policy statement, and the broader interpretation of inflation risks would therefore need to be considered together.

The wider macro setting underscores that uncertainty. The 10-year Treasury yield was reported in a range of roughly 4.75% to 4.80%, with Trading Economics describing a fifth consecutive session of rising yields and the highest level since January 2025. Higher yields and oil prices were among the factors weighing on risk assets in the reported market moves.

Forward Scenarios Into the September Meeting

Three broad outcomes frame the approach to the September FOMC decision. If rate-increase odds remain elevated and the Fed holds with relatively soft guidance, the gap between market pricing and the decision could support a reassessment across risk assets, including Bitcoin. That would be the scenario most consistent with a potential short-squeeze discussion.

If the Fed raises rates, the outcome would align more closely with the probabilities reported by Polymarket, CME FedWatch, Fed funds futures reporting, and Trading Economics.

If the Fed holds while stressing that additional tightening remains possible, the apparent dovish surprise would be weaker. In either case, the relevant question is not only whether the Fed changes rates, but how the decision compares with the expectations that have developed since Jackson Hole.

Inflation developments, Treasury yields, oil prices, and the evolution of rate probabilities remain part of the backdrop into the September 15-16 meeting. The available evidence supports a market focused on a possible increase, rather than a single definitive probability or a predetermined reaction in Bitcoin.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

The post Fed Rate Cut Odds Slashed as Kalshi September Hike Bets Reach 60%–68% appeared first on Cryptonews.

Bitcoin fell to $77,500 today, unwinding part of the nearly 25% August’s gain. It happens as renewed U.S.-Iran strikes and a fresh leg higher in Treasury yields rekindled bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this month.

The reversal poses a direct test of whether August’s rally was a durable shift in Bitcoin’s macro positioning or simply a byproduct of falling yields that has now gone into reverse.

The U.S. and Iran traded a fresh round of strikes overnight Tuesday, with both sides digging in over control of the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump threatened to hit Iran’s oil infrastructure directly, while Tehran warned of further retaliation against U.S. bases in the surrounding Gulf countries.

Oil prices jumped sharply on the escalation, marking the worst U.S.-Iran hostilities in over a month and reviving worries about energy-driven inflation spreading through the global economy. Government bond yields surged in response across Japan, Australia, the U.S., and Europe, and markets moved quickly to price in a higher probability that the Federal Reserve would raise rates at its September meeting. Right now, inflation is still running above the central bank’s 2% annual target.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

Why Falling Yields Helped Bitcoin

August’s near-25% rally was fueled chiefly by a drop in yields. Higher rates bode poorly for purely speculative assets such as Bitcoin, and the same yield channel that lifted the asset last month is the one dragging it lower this week.

Renewed buying from Strategy, the largest corporate Bitcoin holder, offered only limited support even as the company made its first purchase in two months. That the market’s most consistent structural bid could not offset macro pressure underscores how much of Bitcoin’s near-term price action is currently dictated by rates and oil rather than treasury-driven demand.

Bitcoin (BTC)

24h7d30d1yAll time

The selloff was not confined to Bitcoin. Crypto prices retreated on Wednesday after also posting strong August gains, with every major token trading lower against the dollar.

Solana and the TRUMP memecoin posted the sharpest declines among majors, while BNB held up best, slipping just 0.3%. The uniformity of the drawdown across large caps and memecoins alike points to a risk-off move. They are all driven by macro conditions rather than any single protocol.

Friday’s Payrolls Data Could Set the Next Rate Signal

The focus this week is squarely on U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, due Friday, for further cues on the Fed’s next move. Any sign of labor-market resilience gives the central bank more headroom to hike, which would reinforce the same yield pressure now weighing on Bitcoin and other risk-sensitive assets.

A softer print would cut the other way, easing the immediate case for a September hike and potentially relieving some of the yield pressure that unwound August’s gains, though that remains a conditional scenario rather than a confirmed outcome.

Until that data lands, Bitcoin’s price action is likely to keep tracking oil prices and Treasury yields more closely than any crypto-specific catalyst as the U.S.-Iran conflict and bond-market rout intensified earlier this week.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

The post Bitcoin August Rally Is Being Put to the Test With Higher Treasury Yields appeared first on Cryptonews.

Bitcoin traded at a 1% premium on Upbit, South Korea’s largest crypto exchange, over Binance’s dollar-denominated price today, marking the longest sustained positive spread since early May.

The reappearance of the so-called kimchi premium raises an immediate analytical question: Does this reflect a genuine revival of South Korean retail risk appetite? Or simply a temporary lull in local selling pressure that says little about where Bitcoin goes next?

The kimchi premium, the gap between Bitcoin prices on Korean exchanges and global markets, has functioned for years as a barometer of retail mood across Asia. Upbit, owned by Dunamu Inc, has held that positive spread for about a week now. That is a meaningful shift given where the spread stood as recently as June, and it arrives as macro conditions continue to shape Bitcoin’s price action.

Rachael Lucas, an analyst at BTC Markets, said Korean retail tends to buy aggressively in risk-on phases and capital controls mean that buying shows up as a price gap rather than arbitrage flow. That distinction matters: unlike US markets, where price discrepancies get arbitraged away almost instantly, Korea’s regulatory structure lets demand imbalances persist visibly for days or weeks.

Markus Thielen, head of 10x Research, offered the counterweight. He said Korea is unlikely to be a major driver in the initial stage of a Bitcoin rebound without a corresponding pickup in spot volumes, noting many Korean traders remain focused on AI stocks rather than crypto. The premium turning positive is one data point; it is not confirmation that capital is rotating back into digital assets at scale.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

The Case For and Against Reading Into It

Lucas noted that discount-to-premium crossings have historically preceded stronger Bitcoin returns over the following weeks, and the premium’s reappearance has presaged further gains in the past. That historical pattern gives the signal some weight, but it competes directly with a much larger and better-documented flow: US spot Bitcoin ETF demand.

US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in about $1.92 billion in the week of Aug. 17, their strongest weekly inflow in 10 months, followed by another $923 million the next week. A $203 million outflow on Aug. 28 then snapped a nine-day inflow streak, a sign institutional momentum was already cooling by month-end even as the Korean spread turned positive.

That contrast is the core of the analytical tension here. US ETF flows increasingly reflect institutional positioning with real capital behind them, while Korea’s price gap has historically been associated with domestic retail buying that local capital controls and financial regulations make difficult to arbitrage away quickly.

Lucas was direct about the scale mismatch: “Korea’s bitcoin-specific share of global volume remains modest, so this is a small signal, an easing of Korean selling pressure, not a new Fomo wave,” she said. “US institutional and ETF flows still dominate price action.”

Trade Bitcoin on Bybit and Get a Chance to Win Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop

Where Bitcoin Price Sits Now

Bitcoin entered September near $79,000 after briefly crossing $80,000 in August for the first time since May, capping the strongest monthly advance since November 2024.

The rally was driven in part by renewed crypto optimism alongside the US Treasury’s decision to increase buybacks of longer-dated government bonds, a macro tailwind unrelated to Korean retail behavior.

Bitcoin (BTC)

24h7d30d1yAll time

The turnaround in the Korean spread looks sharper against that summer backdrop. Bitcoin traded at as much as a 3.1% discount to international prices on Upbit in early June, and the average discount for August was still 0.25%.

The move to a roughly 1% premium by Sept. 1 represents a real reversal in sentiment, even if it remains modest in absolute terms and market conditions heading into September stay the more decisive factor for price.

The path forward hinges on confirmation that has not yet arrived. If the premium holds and Korean spot volumes rise in tandem, that would strengthen the case for a genuine retail-driven leg to the rebound rather than a passing shift in sentiment. If it fades without volume support, the more likely read is that this was a brief easing of Korean selling pressure rather than the start of anything larger.

The post Bitcoin Price Gap Widens as Kimchi Premium and ETF Flows Take Center Stage appeared first on Cryptonews.

Bitcoin traded at $78,500 as the Japanese yen breached 160 per dollar in Tokyo trading, while a U.S. strike on Iran’s Larak Island added to market uncertainty. All these follow Friday’s broad dollar advance and hawkish remarks from Warsh at Jackson Hole, which lifted expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike.

Bitcoin (BTC)

24h7d30d1yAll time

It is reported that bond investors were pricing a Fed positioned to hike and that the repricing had pulled institutional money out of bitcoin ETFs across May and June. The yen itself has long been used as a funding currency for investments in U.S. stocks and Treasury notes.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Sunday that recent moves in the Japanese yen had been contained and did not warrant a joint U.S.-Japan intervention like the one seen last month. Reuters likewise reported that Bessent described the moves as contained.

Bessent had warned Friday that a disorderly yen market could feed through to higher U.S. interest rates. That link places Tokyo’s currency market alongside Wall Street’s rate expectations and crypto-market positioning.

Trade Bitcoin on Bybit and Get a Chance to Win Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop

What the Iran Strike Adds to the Macro Test

The U.S. strike on Iran’s Larak Island added another macro risk alongside yen weakness and higher rate expectations. Oil moving higher and stocks moving lower after the U.S. action, while bitcoin showed a comparatively muted response.

Reuters reported that U.S. forces struck Iran’s Larak Island on Sunday and that oil rose as Gulf tensions flared. The market response highlighted energy as an immediate channel for pricing the escalation.

The $78,000 Bitcoin Consolidation Question

Bitcoin’s daily loss remained under 1% as the yen breached its closely watched threshold and Gulf tensions flared. The dollar strength that pushed the yen past its intervention line as the same force capping crypto, leaving bitcoin near $78,000 amid competing market pressures.

The wider crypto market showed mixed performance. Solana and Dogecoin fell roughly 3% on the day, while Ether, BNB, Zcash, and Tron were within 2% of flat. On a weekly basis, Solana was up about 8% while Dogecoin was down by 10%.

Monday was the final trading session of August. The month’s closing ETF total would show whether an eight-day bitcoin ETF inflow run survived the change in rate expectations or ended with it.

Reuters reported that investors were turning to upcoming U.S. data, including the nonfarm payrolls report and consumer inflation figures, which could shape expectations ahead of the September Fed meeting. CoinDesk identified August’s closing ETF flow total as the more immediate crypto-market indicator.

The dollar’s direction, the yen’s movement near intervention-sensitive levels, and the path of rate expectations remain key variables for risk assets, including bitcoin.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

The post Bitcoin Faces a Three-Way Macro Test Near $78,000 appeared first on Cryptonews.

Today’s Bitcoin price prediction has BTC trading at $79,500, up around +1.1% over the past 24 hours, as the coin’s late-August grind between $78,000 and $81,000 stretches into another week.

That sideways chop is the entire story right now, and according to BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, it’s not just a mid-cycle pause; it’s a structural problem for the largest corporate bitcoin holder on the planet.

Hayes argues on Laura Shin’s Unchained Podcast that Strategy Inc.’s decade-old playbook, sell shares at a premium to net asset value, buy more bitcoin, repeat, breaks down the moment BTC stops accelerating, even without a price crash.

With Strategy’s enterprise mNAV compressed to roughly 1.01x and diluted mNAV near 0.74x as of August 27, the company now trades close to the raw value of its 840,447 BTC holdings, leaving almost no premium to fund another buying cycle.

Bitcoin briefly topped $81,000 on August 25 before easing back, a pattern that’s reviving debate over whether this rally still has legs. Recent technical coverage suggests the answer hinges on a handful of key levels playing out over the next few sessions.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can BTC USD Hit $83K This Week?

At $79,649.68, Bitcoin sits in a tight band that’s defined the past several sessions, with seven-day gains still running near 9.7% despite Thursday’s pullback.

Resistance stacks up at $81,121 first, then a heavier shelf at $82,500–$84,700, with $87,500 marking the next major ceiling if momentum resumes. Support sits at $78,720, then $75,604, with a broader moving-average cluster at $65,800–$68,300 forming the base of the summer breakout.

The bull case: a clean break above $81,121 opens the door to a run toward $84,700, especially if dollar weakness persists and Treasury actions keep bond yields contained.

The base case: continued consolidation between $78,000 and $81,000 while the market digests Strategy’s mNAV squeeze and broader macro data.

The bear case: a breakdown below $75,604 support, which would invalidate the current bullish structure and likely trigger a retest of the $68,000 zone.

Options positioning around key strikes, detailed in recent Deribit expiry analysis, adds another layer of near-term volatility to watch.

Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as Bitcoin Tests Key Levels

Holders sitting on positions from the summer breakout are still up double digits over the month, no complaint there. But buying Bitcoin at $79,649 for outsized returns is a different bet than it was a year ago; the asset’s $1.5 trillion-plus market cap means even a run to $100,000 is “only” 25% upside from here.

That math is exactly why traders scanning for asymmetric exposure keep circling back to Bitcoin’s own infrastructure layer, where the growth curve looks nothing like the base chain’s.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is building the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with Solana Virtual Machine integration, aiming to deliver smart contract execution faster than Solana itself while settling back to Bitcoin’s base-layer security.

The presale has raised $33,087,186.94 at a current token price of $0.0136853, with staking APY available for early participants. Its Decentralized Canonical Bridge targets one of Bitcoin’s oldest complaints: capital stuck earning nothing because the base chain can’t run smart contracts.

Not financial advice. Crypto markets are highly volatile and presale tokens carry elevated risk. Always do your own research before investing.

The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can BTC Get Back Over $80,000? appeared first on Cryptonews.

About $6.44 billion in Bitcoin options covering 81,700 contracts settle on Deribit just now, and the same day, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivers his first keynote as chief at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. Now, does a call-heavy derivatives reset plus a closely watched policy speech amplify Bitcoin’s next move, or does it just generate noise that fades by Monday?

Neither event guarantees direction on its own. What matters is how dealer hedging around specific strikes interacts with whatever tone Warsh strikes, and history suggests expiries this size have underwhelmed before.

Friday’s book splits into 44,639 calls against 37,061 puts, a put-to-call ratio of 0.83. That leans bullish in structure, but it doesn’t function as a forecast, as plenty of options traders build spreads and covered positions that have nothing to do with a directional bet on spot price.

The $6.44 billion figure is notional, not cash changing hands. It’s the contract count multiplied by Bitcoin’s spot price, and most of Friday’s contracts sit far out of the money, meaning they’ll expire without any settlement at all.

The part that actually moves markets is the hedging: firms that sold these options have to buy or sell real Bitcoin as price shifts to stay balanced, and a book this size can generate enough flow to swing price independent of any headline.

The $75,000-$80,000 Bitcoin Strikes

The heaviest open-interest concentrations sit at $75,000 and $80,000. That marks where option writers hold their largest positions, not where Bitcoin is destined to land, but where dealer hedging is likely to get more active as expiry approaches.

Max pain for the August 28 expiry is reported near $70,000, or $9,000 to $11,000 below Bitcoin’s price at publication. That’s a wide gap, and the wider it is, the more hedging tends to intensify heading into settlement. With most call buyers currently holding paper profits, pulling the price toward max pain would require a sharp decline.

Bitcoin (BTC)

24h7d30d1yAll time

Size alone hasn’t reliably moved Bitcoin before. A $15 billion Deribit expiry in June 2025 carried a max pain near $102,000 with implied volatility at its lowest since October 2023, and Bitcoin barely budged. December’s $13.3 billion expiry, with max pain near $100,000-$102,000, produced a similarly muted reaction.

Friday’s setup differs mainly in where the pressure sits. Bitcoin is trading close enough to the $75,000 and $80,000 strikes to keep dealer hedging active, unlike those prior expiries where spot sat far from the action.

Trade Bitcoin on Bybit and Get a Chance to Win Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop

The Jackson Hole Variable

Warsh’s keynote lands the same Friday as the Deribit settlement, marking his debut major address as Fed chair. CNBC has reported he is scheduled to deliver the speech on Friday, and Reuters has flagged elevated bond-market anxiety heading into it, a signal that fixed-income desks are treating this appearance as more than ceremonial.

Warsh’s speech arrives alongside an already-live options settlement. Deribit’s contracts settle at 08:00 UTC Friday, roughly the same window as Warsh takes the podium at Jackson Hole, leaving Bitcoin exposed to a second catalyst on the same day.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

The post Bitcoin Faces a Dual Test From Dealer Hedging and the Fed appeared first on Cryptonews.