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Radar Trends to Watch: October 2026

In addition to the nearly constant stream of model releases, in September we’ve seen price drops, new kinds of models, proofs of long-standing problems in mathematics, and continued investigations into models escaping their sandboxes. (Axios reports investigations into over 10,000 incidents.) AI has infinite patience and is fundamentally probabilistic. Given a difficult or impossible task […]

Radar Trends to Watch: September 2026

Coauthored with Claude Midway through each month, I think β€œThe next Trends is going to be small. Not much is happening.” This is the first time that I’ve been right. Was everyone on vacation in August? Am I becoming jaded? There were many model releases, though few of them seemed significant. Then again, it may […]

Radar Trends to Watch: August 2026

Coauthored with Claude Unrestricted global access to frontier AI technology is ending. The US government has taken steps to control who can use the most advanced models developed by American companies. While Claude Fable and the GPT-5.6 models are now open to all users, Anthropic and OpenAI are both complying voluntarily with a program that […]
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