Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin Price Rests Near $80,500 as Midterms, Fed Decision Loom

Bitcoin price traded near $80,500 most of Tuesday, holding above the $80,000 level that has become the market’s line in the sand. Prices ranged between roughly $79,400 and $80,800 over the day, according to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data, and the asset was up about 0.3% over the prior 24 hours by mid-afternoon Eastern time.

The steadiness follows a rough stretch. Bitcoin price fell below $80,000 on Monday as investors cut risk exposure, weighed down by concerns about AI-sector valuations and higher oil prices. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have also been shedding money. Still, the selling hasn’t turned into panic. Bitcoin price has mostly stayed in a band between about $79,000 and $81,000 this week.

The longer view is harder on anyone who bought near the top. Bitcoin’s all-time high sits near $126,000, set in October 2025, and the price is roughly 30% below where it was a year ago.

The Federal Reserve’s policy meeting runs October 27 and 28, with the decision due Wednesday. The central bank has held its target range at 3.75% to 4% after raising it in September, and officials have signaled another increase may be needed by year-end. 

Market odds leaned toward a hold the last time they were clearly reported in early October, but those numbers are stale and likely have moved. Traders will watch Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference for hints about a December hike.

Bitcoin price logic amidst the midterms

The logic for Bitcoin is simple. Higher rates drain liquidity from speculative assets, so a hawkish surprise would likely push the price back toward $80,000 or below. 

A hold, or a softer tone, could give buyers room to push toward the $88,000 range seen earlier this fall. The November 3 midterm elections add another layer. Prediction markets have favored Democrats winning both chambers of Congress, according to one Polymarket reading cited in recent coverage. 

For crypto, the most immediate policy question is the pending market structure bill, and lawmakers’ votes on it could shape how the industry approaches the races. Bitcoin and other risk assets have tended to rally in the 12 months after past midterm cycles. 

TD Cowen analysts have warned the results could stall the CLARITY Act for two years. Prediction markets gave Democrats a 90% chance of winning the House and 62% of winning the Senate, a scenario TD Cowen called the most negative for bitcoin. 

A split Congress, with Republicans holding the Senate, was seen as better, while a Republican sweep was viewed as the best path for crypto. The bill had stalled after a failed Senate cloture vote in September, with ethics provisions and stablecoin yield still dividing lawmakers.

At the time of writing, the bitcoin price is roughly $80,600.

This post Bitcoin Price Rests Near $80,500 as Midterms, Fed Decision Loom first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

Bitcoin Magazine

Next Week’s Midterms Could Stall the CLARITY Act and Test Crypto’s Political Clout: TD Cowen 

Washington’s crypto agenda hinges on next week’s midterm elections, according to a new policy note from TD Cowen, shared with Bitcoin Magazine. 

Analyst Jaret Seiberg warned in the note that the probable results could make it difficult for Congress to pass the CLARITY Act over the next two years. The bill would set the rules for bitcoin and other digital assets, and the industry has spent $176 million on more than 100 races to shape the outcome. Here are a couple of the results:

A Democratic sweep is the most probable outcome

Prediction markets cited in the report give Democrats a 90% chance of winning the House and a 62% chance of winning the Senate. TD Cowen considers this the most negative scenario for bitcoin and the broader crypto sector. Under it, Sen. Elizabeth Warren would become Senate Banking Committee chair. Seiberg describes her as a crypto skeptic who has led opposition to the CLARITY Act, and he expects her to conduct tough oversight of federal regulators.

Warren cannot stop regulators from adopting policies that favor the industry. Seiberg expects President Trump to remain favorable toward crypto, so he would veto any bill that limits his regulators’ authority. Democrats would lack the votes to override him. As a result, policy changes are expected to focus on tokenization, perpetual futures, and stablecoins.

A split Congress with Republicans holding the Senate

The second scenario keeps Democrats in control of the House while key Senate races stay close enough to break for Republicans. Sen. Tim Scott would keep his Banking Committee gavel. TD Cowen views this outcome as a better result for bitcoin, because Rep. Maxine Waters could trade support for parts of the market structure bill in exchange for investor protections and action on her other priorities. 

Adverse legislation would be blocked from reaching the president’s desk.

A Republican sweep is the least likely but best outcome for crypto

Kalshi gives Republicans a 10% chance to keep the House and a 35% chance to keep the Senate. TD Cowen calls this the best path for crypto policy, though the margins matter. A wider Senate majority would improve the odds that leaders advance the CLARITY Act in 2027 or 2028, and they could attempt a revival during the lame-duck session. 

A narrow majority, by contrast, would leave the bill stalled, as Democrats keep pushing ethics provisions that the president opposes. When the Senate blocked the bill, Bitcoin-related stocks tumbled.

For background, the CLARITY Act would create federal rules for digital assets. The House passed its version in July 2025 by a 294-134 vote. The Senate Banking Committee approved its own version in May 2026 by a 15-9 vote, with two Democrats joining Republicans.

On the Senate floor, a cloture vote failed 49-50 on September 15. Democrats want ethics language that would bar senior officials, including the president, from profiting from crypto ventures. Republicans and industry groups resist those limits. Stablecoin yield is another dispute. Each side says the other is blocking progress, and the bill is stuck.

This post Next Week’s Midterms Could Stall the CLARITY Act and Test Crypto’s Political Clout: TD Cowen  first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

Bitcoin Magazine

Crypto Midterm Election Spending Reaches $176 Million as Industry Builds for the Next Congress

The crypto industry has spent about $176 million across more than 100 midterm races this cycle, according to a Reuters review of campaign spending. The money is part of a plan to build a bipartisan coalition in Congress that can protect the sector after President Donald Trump leaves office.

Fairshake, the industry’s largest super PAC, leads the effort. The group spent $196 million in the 2024 cycle and is directing strategy again. Through October 20, Fairshake and its affiliate PACs had spent about $150.8 million this year, while other crypto groups spent around $25 million. Fairshake said 53 of the 58 candidates it backed in primaries or special elections won, and those candidates will be on the November 3 ballot, per Reuters. 

Super PACs can raise and spend unlimited sums but cannot coordinate with campaigns. Fairshake’s ads run through affiliates with names such as “Defend American Jobs” and “Protect Progress,” and they often focus on taxes and immigration rather than crypto. Voters have little way of knowing who pays for them. 

The watchdog group Public Citizen said crypto was the largest corporate spender in federal races in 2026. Crypto firms led corporate political spending at that point, citing the same watchdog’s analysis.

Coinbase, Ripple and Andreessen Horowitz are the primary financiers. Industry strategists and campaign staff said the money is a calling card meant to build relationships with elected officials. 

Crypto’s long game in Congress

Colin McLaren, head of government relations at the Solana Policy Institute, which has given $4.9 million to the midterms, called it “an investment in the future,” per Reuters.

The approach reflects a sharp change. In 2018, lawmakers could not secure a room in the House or Senate office buildings for the first bipartisan crypto roundtable, so they met at the Library of Congress. Then, under the Biden administration, the Securities and Exchange Commission levied more than $6 billion in penalties across 98 cases, according to a Georgetown University Law study. 

Executives concluded they needed political force. Coinbase Chief Policy Officer Faryar Shirzad helped launch Stand With Crypto and Fairshake in 2023. The number of lawmakers rated “A” by Stand With Crypto rose to 332 from 96 when the group launched.

Legislation followed. The GENIUS Act, enacted in 2025 with broad bipartisan support, created the first federal regulatory framework for stablecoins. The industry’s next goal, the Clarity Act, would place oversight under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. That bill stalled this session. Senate Democrats blocked it from reaching a final vote over an ethics provision that would have forced the Trump family to sell its crypto holdings. 

Fairshake helped defeat Sherrod Brown, who chaired the Senate Banking Committee, in 2024, and the industry has since spent more than $68 million on his rematch against Republican Jon Husted, according to AdImpact. 

Fairshake’s ads against Brown do not mention crypto, and Brown’s campaign manager, Patrick Eisenhauer, said “the special interests are panicking.” In Illinois, Fairshake spent over $10.1 million attacking Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton and $2.5 million against state Representative La Shawn Ford, per Reuters, yet both are expected to win on November 3. 

Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss each gave about $13 million this cycle, most of it to MAGA Inc.

What voters think

Public attitudes are mixed. A September survey seen by Bitcoin Magazine of 1,545 U.S. adults by Ipsos for the DeFi Education Fund found that 22% have owned or used crypto, up from 18% in 2025. Only 19% believe the U.S. financial system is secure. 

The survey also found 35% say it is important for candidates to support building the next generation of financial technology in the United States. Only 13% said the same when the question named blockchain, crypto or DeFi. The DeFi Education Fund is a digital asset advocacy group, so its framing reflects that perspective. 

Stand With Crypto’s leadership has argued that the crypto vote will decide the midterms.

This post Crypto Midterm Election Spending Reaches $176 Million as Industry Builds for the Next Congress first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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Bitcoin Magazine

Stand With Crypto Director: The Crypto Vote Will Decide the Midterms | Mason Lynaugh

The midterms are November 3, and a shift in congressional power could reshape Bitcoin and crypto policy for years. Mason Lynaugh, Executive Director of Stand With Crypto, joins Grace Remington and Sean Hagan to break down the final push: 3.1 million advocates, 50 state chapters, 47 college chapters and 45 endorsed candidates. He explains why crypto voters are the low-propensity swing bloc campaigns spend millions to find, why the Clarity Act and GENIUS Act votes prove the issue is bipartisan, and why he expects the most pro-Bitcoin Congress in history no matter who wins.

Stand with Crypto: Check your registration, find your state’s deadline, and see where your candidates stand on crypto in one place: https://www.standwithcrypto.org/vote

Chapters:
0:00 Stand With Crypto’s Final Push: 3.1 Million Advocates and 45 Endorsed Candidates
1:18 The Voter Hub and Making the Next Congress the Most Pro-Bitcoin in History
2:12 Why Crypto Voters Are the Low-Propensity Swing Vote Campaigns Want
3:16 Tight Races Decided by Hundreds of Votes and Tens of Thousands of Advocates
4:08 Bipartisan Support: 100 Democrats on the Clarity Act and the GENIUS Act Vote
5:03 From 90 to 338 A-Rated Lawmakers in Three Years
5:44 Why Some Democrats Still Oppose Crypto and How Skeptics Come Around
7:32 Give Them a Job or Take It Away: Organizing Against Anti-Bitcoin Lawmakers
9:28 Fair Shake’s $95 Million vs. Volunteer Phone Calls
11:05 The GENIUS Act Rollout, Clarity Act Disappointment and Why AI Advocates Are Allies

DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.

This post Stand With Crypto Director: The Crypto Vote Will Decide the Midterms | Mason Lynaugh first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Patrick Green.

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Bitcoin Magazine

Blockchain.com CEO: “Crypto Spring” has Arrived – Institutions Driving the Market

With the midterms just weeks away, how much political support does crypto really have? Blockchain.com Co-CEO Lane Kasselman says the digital asset sector has the most bipartisan support it’s ever had in Congress, and it’s only growing. He explains why the industry should keep its momentum no matter which party leads, even with the CLARITY Act stalled. Kasselman also breaks down Blockchain.com’s new options trading launch.

Chapters:
00:00 Blockchain.com Launches Options Trading
00:48 Is Crypto Bipartisan Heading Into the Midterms?
01:57 The CLARITY Act Stall and 30+ SEC and CFTC Rulemakings
03:08 The State-by-State Money Transmitter License Problem
04:05 How Institutions Took Over the Crypto Market
05:06 Is the Crypto Winter Over?
06:28 Self-Custody vs. Custodial Wallets Around the World
07:49 Blockchain.com as the Liquidity Layer for Tokenization
10:00 AI Agents and Blockchain.com’s June
10:56 Will AI Agents Settle in Stablecoins or Bitcoin?

DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.

This post Blockchain.com CEO: “Crypto Spring” has Arrived – Institutions Driving the Market first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Patrick Green.